FOUR
Shift4 Payments, Inc. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →
Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) closed at $41.17 as of 2026-03-20, trading 41.5% below its 200-week moving average of $70.44. This places FOUR in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -38.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, FOUR is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 254 weeks of data, FOUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FOUR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.1%.
With a market cap of $4.2 billion, FOUR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 9.9%. The stock trades at 5.7x book value.
Share count has increased 13.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FOUR would have grown to $43, compared to $165 for the S&P 500. FOUR has returned -15.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $33,932,269. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while FOUR is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FOUR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FOUR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying FOUR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.2% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.3% vs +31.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FOUR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FOUR has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +22.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2021 | Jan 2023 | 63 | 50.2% | -29.2% | -34.8% |
| Feb 2023 | Feb 2023 | 2 | 5.1% | +34.0% | -28.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 14 | 28.8% | +17.4% | -32.3% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 3 | 6.0% | +25.9% | -32.4% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 2.8% | +62.6% | -34.3% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 21+ | 41.6% | Ongoing | -40.4% |
| Average | 17 | — | +22.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FOUR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) is trading 41.5% below its 200-week moving average of $70.44. The current price is $41.17.
What is FOUR's 200-week moving average price?
Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $70.44 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FOUR drops below its 200-week moving average?
FOUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is FOUR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FOUR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 11.3%. Return on equity is 9.9%. Price-to-book is 5.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FOUR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.9 years, $100 invested in FOUR would have grown to $43, compared to $165 for the S&P 500. That's -15.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. FOUR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20