FOUR
Shift4 Payments, Inc. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →
Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) closed at $59.28 as of 2026-02-02, trading 15.9% below its 200-week moving average of $70.50. This places FOUR in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 248 weeks of data, FOUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FOUR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.1%.
With a market cap of $5.3 billion, FOUR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 14.2%. The stock trades at 5.8x book value.
Share count has increased 22.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FOUR would have grown to $62, compared to $176 for the S&P 500. FOUR has returned -9.3% annualized vs 12.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $16,266,182. Notably, these purchases occurred while FOUR is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: FOUR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FOUR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying FOUR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.2% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.3% vs +31.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FOUR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FOUR has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +22.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2021 | Jan 2023 | 63 | 50.2% | -29.2% | -6.1% |
| Feb 2023 | Feb 2023 | 2 | 5.1% | +34.0% | +2.5% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 14 | 28.8% | +17.4% | -2.5% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 3 | 6.0% | +25.9% | -2.7% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 2.8% | +62.6% | -5.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 15+ | 16.2% | Ongoing | -14.2% |
| Average | 16 | — | +22.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02