FNF
Fidelity National Financial Inc. Financial Services - Title Insurance Investor Relations →
Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) closed at $42.50 as of 2026-09-18, trading 6.1% below its 200-week moving average of $45.26. This places FNF in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -3.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1044 weeks of data, FNF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FNF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.1%.
With a market cap of $11.4 billion, FNF is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 31.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 10.2%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
Over the past 20.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FNF would have grown to $776, compared to $822 for the S&P 500. FNF has returned 10.7% annualized vs 11.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 10.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FNF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FNF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying FNF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.3% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +24.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.1% vs +42.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FNF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FNF would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FNF's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $43.95 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $46.69 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $49.80 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $53.35 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $57.44 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $1.32 | $1.39 | +5.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | $1.09 | $0.93 | -14.7% |
| 2026-02-19 | $1.50 | $1.41 | -5.8% |
| 2025-11-06 | $1.42 | $1.63 | +14.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FNF's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FNF has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +12.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2006 | Oct 2006 | 4 | 1.9% | -11.9% | +676.5% |
| Jul 2007 | Feb 2009 | 80 | 58.2% | -37.8% | +628.5% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 2 | 13.1% | -10.4% | +752.8% |
| Apr 2009 | Sep 2010 | 72 | 24.5% | -6.6% | +725.6% |
| Oct 2010 | Mar 2011 | 25 | 14.1% | +8.2% | +812.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 34 | 33.8% | +84.4% | +167.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 6.8% | +8.2% | +55.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 4.1% | +24.2% | +47.8% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 3.8% | +13.2% | +47.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 11.9% | +49.7% | +45.3% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 1 | 1.8% | N/A | +0.5% |
| Sep 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 6.1% | Ongoing | -2.5% |
| Average | 20 | — | +12.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FNF below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) is trading 6.1% below its 200-week moving average of $45.26. The current price is $42.50.
What is FNF's 200-week moving average price?
Fidelity National Financial Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $45.26 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FNF drops below its 200-week moving average?
FNF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is FNF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FNF as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow yield is 31.5%. Return on equity is 10.2%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FNF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.1 years, $100 invested in FNF would have grown to $776, compared to $822 for the S&P 500. That's 10.7% annualized vs 11.1% for the index. FNF has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FNF pay a dividend?
Yes. Fidelity National Financial Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 489.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18