FND
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Home Improvement Retail Investor Relations →
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) closed at $69.38 as of 2026-02-02, trading 23.2% below its 200-week moving average of $90.33. This places FND in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -27.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 410 weeks of data, FND has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FND at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +32.6%.
With a market cap of $7.5 billion, FND is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.7%. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
Over the past 7.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FND would have grown to $148, compared to $295 for the S&P 500. FND has returned 5.1% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: FND vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FND Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying FND when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +39.5% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +20.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +95.6% vs +53.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FND crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FND has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +32.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2018 | Mar 2019 | 34 | 40.7% | +17.2% | +85.0% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 11.8% | +31.0% | +82.5% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 2 | 3.8% | +54.4% | +75.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 35.2% | +134.9% | +73.2% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | +28.9% | +1.1% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 9.5% | +51.5% | +9.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 15 | 9.6% | +27.5% | -1.1% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 11.0% | +30.3% | -19.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 5 | 5.3% | -11.9% | -25.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 4 | 4.9% | -37.3% | -30.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 52+ | 35.8% | Ongoing | -28.9% |
| Average | 12 | — | +32.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02