FMC
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FMC Corporation (FMC) closed at $14.76 as of 2026-02-02, trading 77.4% below its 200-week moving average of $65.36. This places FMC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -76.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, FMC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FMC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.4%.
With a market cap of $1844 million, FMC is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -66.6%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FMC would have grown to $367, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. FMC has returned 4.0% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 5 open-market purchases totaling $2,595,123. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while FMC is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -5.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: FMC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FMC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying FMC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -1.7% after 12 months (median -11.0%), compared to +17.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 39% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.9% vs +31.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FMC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FMC has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +10.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1981 | Aug 1982 | 50 | 15.5% | +6.4% | +3227.5% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 5 | 8.4% | +22.3% | +450.5% |
| Jun 1990 | Jul 1990 | 4 | 5.1% | +31.2% | +438.1% |
| Aug 1990 | Feb 1991 | 26 | 28.4% | +38.1% | +414.9% |
| Apr 1991 | Apr 1991 | 2 | 1.3% | +29.9% | +397.0% |
| Apr 1997 | Apr 1997 | 1 | 0.6% | +30.0% | +193.3% |
| Dec 1997 | Feb 1998 | 8 | 6.6% | -13.7% | +178.5% |
| Jun 1998 | Jul 1999 | 55 | 29.6% | +1.1% | +158.8% |
| Jul 1999 | Jul 1999 | 1 | 0.9% | -13.7% | +163.8% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 2000 | 51 | 40.5% | -0.2% | +169.8% |
| Aug 2001 | Jan 2002 | 24 | 44.9% | -19.8% | +187.5% |
| Jun 2002 | Dec 2003 | 78 | 52.5% | -34.3% | +194.7% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 22.5% | +69.1% | +39.2% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 4 | 13.8% | +50.2% | +23.7% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 4 | 13.1% | +42.8% | +12.9% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 3.9% | +45.6% | +10.2% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 4.8% | -26.1% | -58.7% |
| Nov 2014 | Dec 2014 | 3 | 2.9% | -21.4% | -60.0% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 2 | 1.3% | -27.8% | -61.9% |
| May 2015 | Nov 2016 | 79 | 41.5% | -14.5% | -62.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 5.6% | +71.4% | -73.1% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | -38.4% | -84.0% |
| Jun 2023 | Ongoing | 137+ | 82.0% | Ongoing | -84.1% |
| Average | 24 | — | +10.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02