FMBH
First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) closed at $39.44 as of 2026-03-20, trading 20.7% above its 200-week moving average of $32.68. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 20.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.19 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1361 weeks of data, FMBH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FMBH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.3%.
With a market cap of $1051 million, FMBH is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.2%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Share count has increased 17.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 26.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FMBH would have grown to $696, compared to $751 for the S&P 500. FMBH has returned 7.7% annualized vs 8.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FMBH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FMBH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying FMBH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.2% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +7.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.7% vs +23.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FMBH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FMBH has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +6.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2000 | Jul 2001 | 73 | 18.6% | +0.8% | +596.4% |
| Dec 2007 | May 2008 | 18 | 8.4% | -10.1% | +139.4% |
| Jun 2008 | Jan 2012 | 184 | 36.8% | -24.2% | +133.1% |
| Jun 2014 | Jun 2014 | 2 | 0.7% | +2.6% | +161.7% |
| Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 2 | 5.7% | +18.3% | +175.2% |
| Nov 2014 | May 2015 | 26 | 13.3% | +10.7% | +157.1% |
| May 2015 | May 2015 | 1 | 2.4% | +30.5% | +156.0% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 2.3% | +29.4% | +155.0% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.2% | -13.9% | +51.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 42 | 37.8% | +10.0% | +42.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 4.4% | -14.2% | +36.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Nov 2023 | 50 | 31.2% | +10.0% | +32.7% |
| Jan 2024 | May 2024 | 14 | 8.1% | +26.3% | +35.6% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 7 | 6.5% | +12.4% | +29.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 6.2% | N/A | +28.3% |
| Average | 28 | — | +6.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FMBH below its 200-week moving average?
No. First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) is currently 20.7% above its 200-week moving average of $32.68. It would need to fall to $32.68 to cross below the line.
What is FMBH's 200-week moving average price?
First Mid Bancshares, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $32.68 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FMBH drops below its 200-week moving average?
FMBH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is FMBH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FMBH as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 43. Return on equity is 10.2%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FMBH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.2 years, $100 invested in FMBH would have grown to $696, compared to $751 for the S&P 500. That's 7.7% annualized vs 8.0% for the index. FMBH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FMBH pay a dividend?
Yes. First Mid Bancshares, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 253.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20