FMBH

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
36.7% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 29.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $32.62
14-Week RSI 79

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) closed at $44.59 as of 2026-02-02, trading 36.7% above its 200-week moving average of $32.62. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 29.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 79, FMBH is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1355 weeks of data, FMBH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FMBH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.3%.

With a market cap of $1070 million, FMBH is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.2%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

Share count has increased 32.2% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 26.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FMBH would have grown to $783, compared to $798 for the S&P 500. FMBH has returned 8.2% annualized vs 8.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 21.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: FMBH vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After FMBH Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying FMBH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.9% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +6.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.7% vs +23.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FMBH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

FMBH has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +6.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 2000Jul 20017318.6%+0.8%+682.7%
Dec 2007May 2008188.4%-10.1%+169.1%
Jun 2008Jan 201218436.8%-24.2%+162.0%
Jun 2014Jun 201420.7%+2.6%+194.2%
Jul 2014Jul 201425.7%+18.3%+209.3%
Nov 2014May 20152613.3%+10.7%+189.0%
May 2015May 201512.4%+30.5%+187.8%
Jun 2015Jun 201512.3%+29.4%+186.6%
Aug 2019Aug 201912.2%-13.9%+70.3%
Feb 2020Nov 20204237.8%+10.0%+59.6%
Sep 2022Oct 202224.4%-14.2%+52.9%
Dec 2022Nov 20235031.2%+10.0%+49.2%
Jan 2024May 2024148.1%+26.3%+52.4%
May 2024Jul 202476.5%+12.4%+45.2%
Mar 2025Apr 202536.2%N/A+44.2%
Average28+6.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02