FLS
Flowserve Corporation Industrials - Pumps & Valves Investor Relations →
Flowserve Corporation (FLS) closed at $75.99 as of 2026-07-31, trading 54.5% above its 200-week moving average of $49.20. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 48.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, FLS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FLS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.5%.
Return on equity stands at 16.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.3x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FLS would have grown to $2256, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. FLS has returned 9.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FLS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FLS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying FLS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.5% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +9.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.8% vs +24.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FLS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FLS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FLS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $66.21 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $72.13 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $79.22 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $87.84 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $98.58 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FLS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FLS has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +14.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1981 | Feb 1983 | 77 | 35.7% | -35.1% | +6486.5% |
| Mar 1983 | Mar 1983 | 1 | 0.1% | -1.9% | +6917.4% |
| Apr 1983 | May 1983 | 6 | 8.4% | +6.1% | +7561.9% |
| Aug 1983 | Sep 1983 | 5 | 3.1% | -9.3% | +6917.4% |
| Oct 1983 | Nov 1983 | 8 | 9.4% | -11.8% | +7261.4% |
| Feb 1984 | May 1984 | 13 | 13.2% | -8.7% | +7119.8% |
| Jun 1984 | Oct 1985 | 72 | 25.3% | -20.4% | +6852.4% |
| May 1986 | Oct 1986 | 24 | 18.6% | +17.5% | +7640.9% |
| Nov 1986 | Jan 1987 | 9 | 18.4% | +8.2% | +7640.9% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 2 | 6.4% | +103.5% | +7973.8% |
| Jul 1998 | Nov 2000 | 125 | 49.2% | -16.3% | +1293.1% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 5.5% | +23.9% | +1490.1% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 1 | 0.9% | +28.9% | +1417.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 4.7% | -23.5% | +1504.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2003 | 56 | 60.3% | +14.3% | +1766.7% |
| Oct 2003 | Oct 2003 | 1 | 4.8% | +20.1% | +1507.4% |
| Nov 2003 | Nov 2003 | 1 | 1.0% | +21.0% | +1438.8% |
| Jan 2004 | Feb 2004 | 3 | 7.3% | +28.1% | +1510.7% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 2.4% | +28.5% | +1413.3% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 4 | 6.7% | +40.9% | +1406.6% |
| Oct 2004 | Nov 2004 | 1 | 0.9% | +59.8% | +1336.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 29 | 36.0% | +81.8% | +442.3% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 6.8% | +48.8% | +378.2% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 21.5% | +41.8% | +232.6% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.6% | +56.7% | +225.8% |
| Jun 2015 | Aug 2018 | 164 | 34.7% | -5.1% | +76.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +9.9% | +97.6% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +10.2% | +98.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 9 | 16.7% | +17.9% | +113.2% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 2.7% | -13.1% | +106.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 8.5% | -30.0% | +100.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Mar 2021 | 54 | 54.1% | -5.3% | +117.0% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 2 | 0.6% | -9.0% | +113.8% |
| Aug 2021 | Jan 2023 | 76 | 31.8% | -8.5% | +122.5% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 8 | 11.9% | +37.6% | +150.2% |
| Average | 22 | — | +14.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Flowserve Corporation (FLS) is currently 54.5% above its 200-week moving average of $49.20. It would need to fall to $49.20 to cross below the line.
What is FLS's 200-week moving average price?
Flowserve Corporation's 200-week moving average is $49.20 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FLS drops below its 200-week moving average?
FLS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is FLS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FLS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 44. Return on equity is 16.9%. Price-to-book is 4.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FLS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in FLS would have grown to $2256, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 9.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. FLS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FLS pay a dividend?
Yes. Flowserve Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 117.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31