FLR
Fluor Corporation Industrials - Engineering & Construction Investor Relations →
Fluor Corporation (FLR) closed at $53.66 as of 2026-06-19, trading 32.5% above its 200-week moving average of $40.49. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 25.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1285 weeks of data, FLR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FLR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +2.2%.
With a market cap of $7.5 billion, FLR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. Return on equity stands at 10.2%. The stock trades at 2.6x book value.
Share count has increased 6.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 24.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FLR would have grown to $369, compared to $1024 for the S&P 500. FLR has returned 5.4% annualized vs 9.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FLR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FLR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying FLR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +1.6% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.1% vs +27.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FLR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. FLR currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FLR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FLR has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +2.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2001 | Mar 2002 | 17 | 22.1% | -34.9% | +258.2% |
| May 2002 | Aug 2003 | 66 | 43.0% | -6.1% | +273.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Jun 2009 | 35 | 36.9% | +3.0% | +36.7% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 5 | 8.5% | -6.5% | +26.0% |
| Sep 2009 | Nov 2010 | 58 | 24.3% | -2.7% | +24.2% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 3.6% | +1.2% | +14.6% |
| Sep 2011 | Jan 2012 | 17 | 16.3% | +19.0% | +23.2% |
| May 2012 | Jul 2012 | 11 | 10.8% | +31.8% | +24.3% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 1 | 0.2% | +24.5% | +19.3% |
| Oct 2012 | Nov 2012 | 3 | 0.7% | +45.5% | +17.8% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 0.1% | +45.2% | +12.5% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 1.2% | -23.5% | -4.6% |
| Nov 2014 | Jan 2018 | 162 | 32.8% | -20.9% | -3.2% |
| Apr 2018 | Jul 2018 | 12 | 10.6% | -34.7% | +23.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Mar 2022 | 178 | 85.8% | -58.4% | +20.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 7.0% | +52.0% | +73.0% |
| Average | 36 | — | +2.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Fluor Corporation (FLR) is currently 32.5% above its 200-week moving average of $40.49. It would need to fall to $40.49 to cross below the line.
What is FLR's 200-week moving average price?
Fluor Corporation's 200-week moving average is $40.49 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FLR drops below its 200-week moving average?
FLR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +2.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 36 weeks on average.
Is FLR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FLR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 67. Free cash flow yield is 4.6%. Return on equity is 10.2%. Price-to-book is 2.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FLR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.7 years, $100 invested in FLR would have grown to $369, compared to $1024 for the S&P 500. That's 5.4% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. FLR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19