FLO
Flowers Foods, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) closed at $8.72 as of 2026-05-01, trading 52.6% below its 200-week moving average of $18.41. This places FLO in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -52.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.78 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, FLO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FLO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +32.7%.
With a market cap of $1847 million, FLO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.0%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 6.2%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FLO would have grown to $3228, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.0% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming FLO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FLO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FLO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying FLO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.8% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.3% vs +23.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FLO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FLO has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +32.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 3 | 3.9% | +23.6% | +28106.6% |
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 3 | 3.3% | +94.6% | +26836.1% |
| Aug 1990 | Jun 1991 | 42 | 29.7% | -3.6% | +3851.6% |
| Jul 1991 | Dec 1991 | 25 | 14.3% | +17.5% | +3855.1% |
| Mar 1992 | Mar 1992 | 3 | 3.4% | +23.3% | +3906.1% |
| Aug 1999 | May 2000 | 40 | 31.0% | +36.9% | +1231.1% |
| Oct 2000 | Mar 2001 | 24 | 16.0% | +104.0% | +1052.6% |
| Jan 2003 | Jan 2003 | 1 | 2.7% | +136.0% | +718.1% |
| Feb 2016 | May 2016 | 12 | 17.9% | +36.9% | -15.7% |
| May 2016 | Dec 2016 | 31 | 24.7% | +3.0% | -29.6% |
| Feb 2017 | Mar 2017 | 2 | 0.6% | +14.7% | -33.6% |
| May 2017 | Sep 2017 | 21 | 8.3% | +23.2% | -32.7% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 1.0% | +5.9% | -32.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 1.4% | +25.5% | -34.7% |
| Aug 2023 | Apr 2024 | 33 | 12.1% | +5.1% | -55.7% |
| May 2024 | Sep 2024 | 14 | 7.6% | -23.9% | -57.4% |
| Sep 2024 | Ongoing | 83+ | 56.7% | Ongoing | -56.7% |
| Average | 20 | — | +32.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) is trading 52.6% below its 200-week moving average of $18.41. The current price is $8.72.
What is FLO's 200-week moving average price?
Flowers Foods, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $18.41 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FLO drops below its 200-week moving average?
FLO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +32.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is FLO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FLO as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 12.0%. Return on equity is 6.2%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FLO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in FLO would have grown to $3228, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 11.0% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. FLO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FLO pay a dividend?
Yes. Flowers Foods, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 1135.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01