FIS
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. Technology - Information Technology Services Investor Relations → Deep dive →
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS) closed at $44.77 as of 2026-07-31, trading 28.5% below its 200-week moving average of $62.63. This places FIS in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -33.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1262 weeks of data, FIS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -6.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $23.1 billion, FIS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 17.2%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 24.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FIS would have grown to $283, compared to $1083 for the S&P 500. FIS has returned 4.4% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 42.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FIS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FIS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying FIS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -7.9% after 12 months (median -15.0%), compared to -10.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 22% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.4% vs +4.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FIS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FIS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FIS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $35.37 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $37.88 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $40.78 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $44.15 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $48.14 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FIS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FIS has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +-6.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2003 | 59 | 43.7% | -14.4% | +262.7% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 2.2% | -18.2% | +192.0% |
| Mar 2008 | May 2008 | 11 | 8.4% | -17.7% | +188.0% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 7 | 11.3% | -6.9% | +181.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2009 | 47 | 38.2% | +17.2% | +189.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 2 | 4.8% | +50.9% | +147.9% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 3 | 2.1% | -33.0% | -58.5% |
| Oct 2021 | Oct 2024 | 154 | 56.8% | -21.9% | -54.3% |
| Dec 2024 | Apr 2025 | 18 | 15.4% | -17.1% | -42.7% |
| Aug 2025 | Ongoing | 52+ | 40.0% | Ongoing | -35.0% |
| Average | 35 | — | +-6.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS) is trading 28.5% below its 200-week moving average of $62.63. The current price is $44.77.
What is FIS's 200-week moving average price?
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $62.63 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FIS drops below its 200-week moving average?
FIS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -6.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 35 weeks on average.
Is FIS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FIS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 10.6%. Return on equity is 17.2%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FIS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.2 years, $100 invested in FIS would have grown to $283, compared to $1083 for the S&P 500. That's 4.4% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. FIS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FIS pay a dividend?
Yes. Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 365.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31