FIBK
First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. (FIBK) closed at $36.43 as of 2026-06-19, trading 31.3% above its 200-week moving average of $27.74. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 33.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 799 weeks of data, FIBK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FIBK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.1%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, FIBK is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.3%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Over the past 15.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FIBK would have grown to $461, compared to $737 for the S&P 500. FIBK has returned 10.4% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -19.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FIBK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FIBK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying FIBK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +12.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.6% vs +35.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FIBK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FIBK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FIBK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $30.76 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $32.26 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $33.91 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $35.73 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $37.77 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FIBK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FIBK has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +5.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2011 | Jun 2011 | 14 | 6.4% | +3.2% | +380.6% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 24 | 26.3% | +5.9% | +384.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 28.0% | +41.7% | +52.6% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 1 | 0.8% | +6.9% | +29.6% |
| Mar 2022 | May 2022 | 8 | 11.3% | -14.2% | +29.4% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 7.4% | -8.4% | +35.5% |
| Feb 2023 | Nov 2024 | 88 | 37.6% | -20.0% | +28.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 17 | 17.6% | +25.5% | +35.5% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | +35.6% |
| Average | 21 | — | +5.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIBK below its 200-week moving average?
No. First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. (FIBK) is currently 31.3% above its 200-week moving average of $27.74. It would need to fall to $27.74 to cross below the line.
What is FIBK's 200-week moving average price?
First Interstate BancSystem, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $27.74 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FIBK drops below its 200-week moving average?
FIBK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is FIBK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FIBK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 67. Return on equity is 9.3%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FIBK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.4 years, $100 invested in FIBK would have grown to $461, compared to $737 for the S&P 500. That's 10.4% annualized vs 13.8% for the index. FIBK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FIBK pay a dividend?
Yes. First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 514.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19