FDS
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FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) closed at $283.83 as of 2026-09-18, trading 24.7% below its 200-week moving average of $377.09. This places FDS in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -31.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.25 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1529 weeks of data, FDS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FDS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.8%.
With a market cap of $10.1 billion, FDS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 27.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.0x book value.
Over the past 29.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FDS would have grown to $6868, compared to $1424 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.5% vs 9.5% for the index — confirming FDS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 8.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FDS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FDS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying FDS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.8% after 12 months (median +36.0%), compared to +11.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +111.1% vs +28.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FDS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FDS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FDS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-09-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $218.93 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $236.13 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $256.25 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $280.13 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $308.91 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | $4.45 | $4.53 | +1.8% |
| 2026-03-31 | $4.38 | $4.46 | +1.9% |
| 2025-12-18 | $4.36 | $4.51 | +3.5% |
| 2025-09-18 | $4.13 | $4.05 | -1.9% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FDS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FDS has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +22.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1997 | Jun 1997 | 1 | 1.7% | +55.3% | +8301.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 4 | 5.6% | -1.2% | +2194.4% |
| Jun 2002 | Jun 2002 | 1 | 1.9% | +30.4% | +1840.5% |
| Jul 2002 | Nov 2002 | 21 | 24.4% | +71.0% | +1967.1% |
| Dec 2002 | Mar 2003 | 14 | 17.5% | +51.9% | +1886.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 29 | 30.1% | +36.7% | +634.7% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 2.3% | +47.5% | +604.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.7% | -44.5% | -30.2% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 2 | 0.9% | -41.6% | -31.0% |
| Jul 2025 | Ongoing | 61+ | 51.8% | Ongoing | -30.9% |
| Average | 14 | — | +22.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FDS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) is trading 24.7% below its 200-week moving average of $377.09. The current price is $283.83.
What is FDS's 200-week moving average price?
FactSet Research Systems Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $377.09 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FDS drops below its 200-week moving average?
FDS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is FDS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FDS as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 61. Free cash flow yield is 6.2%. Return on equity is 27.0%. Price-to-book is 5.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FDS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.3 years, $100 invested in FDS would have grown to $6868, compared to $1424 for the S&P 500. That's 15.5% annualized vs 9.5% for the index. FDS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FDS pay a dividend?
Yes. FactSet Research Systems Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 166.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18