FDS
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FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) closed at $207.32 as of 2026-02-02, trading 49.0% below its 200-week moving average of $406.39. This places FDS in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -37.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1497 weeks of data, FDS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FDS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +41.7%.
With a market cap of $7.8 billion, FDS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 28.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.6x book value.
Over the past 28.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FDS would have grown to $4948, compared to $1286 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 9.3% for the index — confirming FDS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 8.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: FDS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FDS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying FDS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.0% after 12 months (median +37.0%), compared to +8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +111.1% vs +28.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FDS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FDS has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +41.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1997 | Jun 1997 | 1 | 1.7% | +55.3% | +5953.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 4 | 5.6% | -1.2% | +1553.0% |
| Jun 2002 | Jun 2002 | 1 | 1.9% | +30.4% | +1298.0% |
| Jul 2002 | Nov 2002 | 21 | 24.4% | +71.0% | +1389.2% |
| Dec 2002 | Mar 2003 | 14 | 17.5% | +51.9% | +1331.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 29 | 30.1% | +36.7% | +429.3% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 2.3% | +47.5% | +407.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.7% | N/A | -49.7% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 2 | 0.8% | N/A | -50.3% |
| Jul 2025 | Ongoing | 29+ | 49.0% | Ongoing | -50.2% |
| Average | 11 | — | +41.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02