FBK
FB Financial Corporation Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
FB Financial Corporation (FBK) closed at $53.75 as of 2026-06-19, trading 28.0% above its 200-week moving average of $42.00. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 31.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 461 weeks of data, FBK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FBK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.0%.
With a market cap of $2.8 billion, FBK is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 7.9%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 10.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 8.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FBK would have grown to $170, compared to $347 for the S&P 500. FBK has returned 6.1% annualized vs 15.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $500,100.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -42.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FBK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FBK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying FBK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.8% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +19.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +25.9% vs +47.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FBK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FBK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FBK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-13.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $49.27 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $51.07 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $53.01 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $55.10 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $57.36 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FBK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FBK has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +7.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 2.8% | +3.3% | +66.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | 5.7% | +11.6% | +66.1% |
| Jan 2019 | Apr 2019 | 13 | 14.2% | +12.1% | +75.0% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 2.1% | -36.9% | +67.3% |
| Jun 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 1.1% | -30.8% | +68.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 1.5% | -24.8% | +69.0% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 0.4% | +6.2% | +65.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 44 | 50.5% | +31.9% | +80.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 3 | 3.7% | +14.7% | +63.5% |
| Mar 2023 | Nov 2023 | 38 | 29.9% | +13.9% | +73.0% |
| Feb 2024 | Mar 2024 | 3 | 2.0% | +46.4% | +58.7% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 1 | 3.8% | +19.5% | +61.4% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 2 | 1.5% | +23.9% | +54.4% |
| Average | 9 | — | +7.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FBK below its 200-week moving average?
No. FB Financial Corporation (FBK) is currently 28.0% above its 200-week moving average of $42.00. It would need to fall to $42.00 to cross below the line.
What is FBK's 200-week moving average price?
FB Financial Corporation's 200-week moving average is $42.00 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FBK drops below its 200-week moving average?
FBK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is FBK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FBK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Return on equity is 7.9%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FBK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.9 years, $100 invested in FBK would have grown to $170, compared to $347 for the S&P 500. That's 6.1% annualized vs 15.0% for the index. FBK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FBK pay a dividend?
Yes. FB Financial Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 155.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19