FATE
Fate Therapeutics Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
Fate Therapeutics Inc. (FATE) closed at $1.14 as of 2026-02-02, trading 84.0% below its 200-week moving average of $7.14. This places FATE in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -83.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 596 weeks of data, FATE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FATE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.8%.
With a market cap of $132 million, FATE is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -52.3%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
Share count has increased 19.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 11.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FATE would have grown to $22, compared to $426 for the S&P 500. FATE has returned -12.3% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: FATE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FATE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying FATE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.1% after 12 months (median -45.0%), compared to +6.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.9% vs +23.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FATE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FATE has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +23.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2014 | May 2015 | 34 | 42.0% | +16.1% | -79.2% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 0.9% | -72.0% | -81.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 1.6% | -60.7% | -81.2% |
| Sep 2015 | Mar 2017 | 75 | 72.9% | -44.9% | -79.9% |
| Mar 2017 | Oct 2017 | 30 | 39.8% | +114.5% | -74.9% |
| Nov 2017 | Dec 2017 | 6 | 5.3% | +190.0% | -74.2% |
| Jan 2022 | Ongoing | 212+ | 96.2% | Ongoing | -96.9% |
| Average | 51 | — | +23.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02