FANG

Diamondback Energy Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →

NO
15.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 13.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $144.46
14-Week RSI 70

Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) closed at $166.93 as of 2026-02-02, trading 15.6% above its 200-week moving average of $144.46. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 70, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 647 weeks of data, FANG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -24.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $48.3 billion, FANG is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.9%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Share count has increased 63.9% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 12.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FANG would have grown to $469, compared to $510 for the S&P 500. FANG has returned 13.2% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: FANG vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After FANG Crosses Below the Line?

Across 11 historical episodes, buying FANG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -26.0% after 12 months (median -40.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 17% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -1.3% vs +43.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FANG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

FANG has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-24.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Dec 2018Dec 201837.9%-7.5%+132.1%
Feb 2019Feb 201910.8%-22.6%+122.8%
Mar 2019Mar 201912.3%-48.8%+125.1%
May 2019Jun 201932.5%-55.7%+118.8%
Jul 2019May 20219681.6%-58.3%+120.1%
Jul 2021Sep 2021917.9%+44.7%+160.3%
Mar 2025Apr 202528.5%N/A+38.2%
May 2025Jun 202521.4%N/A+24.6%
Aug 2025Aug 202510.2%N/A+20.7%
Sep 2025Sep 202532.6%N/A+21.2%
Oct 2025Oct 202522.0%N/A+20.2%
Average11+-24.7%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02