FAF
First American Financial Corporation Financial Services - Title Insurance Investor Relations →
First American Financial Corporation (FAF) closed at $68.63 as of 2026-06-19, trading 22.4% above its 200-week moving average of $56.06. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 16.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 790 weeks of data, FAF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FAF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.7%.
With a market cap of $7.0 billion, FAF is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 24.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 12.8%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 15.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FAF would have grown to $730, compared to $724 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.0% vs 13.9% for the index — confirming FAF as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $4,050,101.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 13.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FAF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FAF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying FAF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.4% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +26.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.5% vs +46.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FAF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices FAF would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where FAF's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-22.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $55.03 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $58.78 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $63.08 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $68.06 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $73.88 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from FAF's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
FAF has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +26.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 2.0% | +8.0% | +629.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 25 | 27.0% | +30.6% | +655.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 26.5% | +59.6% | +144.7% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 3 | 2.1% | +39.4% | +80.8% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 4 | 8.7% | +57.5% | +72.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 7.8% | +18.8% | +58.2% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 18 | 18.5% | +23.6% | +48.9% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 4 | 5.7% | +11.3% | +42.1% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 7.8% | +23.9% | +39.2% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 2 | 1.8% | +16.3% | +36.7% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 7 | 4.8% | +4.9% | +35.1% |
| May 2025 | Jun 2025 | 3 | 2.2% | +26.9% | +28.8% |
| Jul 2025 | Jul 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | N/A | +26.1% |
| Average | 7 | — | +26.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FAF below its 200-week moving average?
No. First American Financial Corporation (FAF) is currently 22.4% above its 200-week moving average of $56.06. It would need to fall to $56.06 to cross below the line.
What is FAF's 200-week moving average price?
First American Financial Corporation's 200-week moving average is $56.06 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FAF drops below its 200-week moving average?
FAF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +26.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is FAF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FAF as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow yield is 24.5%. Return on equity is 12.8%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FAF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.2 years, $100 invested in FAF would have grown to $730, compared to $724 for the S&P 500. That's 14.0% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. FAF has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does FAF pay a dividend?
Yes. First American Financial Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 324.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19