F
Ford Motor Company Consumer Discretionary - Automobiles Investor Relations →
Ford Motor Company (F) closed at $11.52 as of 2026-03-20, trading 8.7% above its 200-week moving average of $10.59. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 10.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.13 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2759 weeks of data, F has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 45 weeks. Historically, investors who bought F at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.0%.
With a market cap of $46.0 billion, F is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.8%. Return on equity stands at -20.2%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in F would have grown to $450, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. F has returned 4.6% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: F vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After F Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying F when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.3% after 12 months (median -7.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.8% vs +28.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment F crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
F has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +1.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Dec 1975 | 137 | 42.6% | -6.0% | +5912.4% |
| Oct 1979 | Aug 1982 | 148 | 43.7% | -23.7% | +4635.9% |
| Jul 1990 | Feb 1992 | 80 | 37.4% | -13.1% | +493.3% |
| Mar 1992 | Mar 1992 | 1 | 0.4% | +42.4% | +495.0% |
| Oct 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 2.3% | +65.0% | +500.9% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 2 | 2.9% | -25.4% | +24.4% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 5 | 2.6% | -28.6% | +14.2% |
| Jul 2001 | Jun 2004 | 149 | 65.8% | -48.4% | +9.9% |
| Jun 2004 | Nov 2004 | 21 | 10.4% | -28.8% | +65.2% |
| Jan 2005 | Jul 2009 | 235 | 81.4% | -37.3% | +85.7% |
| Jun 2012 | Sep 2012 | 11 | 10.8% | +65.4% | +134.1% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 5 | 5.0% | +77.4% | +126.5% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 1 | 0.9% | +66.9% | +111.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 8 | 12.8% | +8.9% | +60.7% |
| Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 4 | 5.5% | -6.4% | +49.3% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 9 | 6.6% | -12.9% | +45.9% |
| Jul 2016 | Nov 2017 | 70 | 16.5% | -5.8% | +52.3% |
| Jan 2018 | May 2018 | 19 | 13.4% | -23.4% | +48.7% |
| Jun 2018 | Apr 2019 | 44 | 28.3% | -8.5% | +47.5% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 6.7% | -39.7% | +63.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Nov 2020 | 69 | 54.4% | -24.6% | +68.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Dec 2023 | 6 | 10.1% | +19.2% | +36.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Jun 2025 | 49 | 21.0% | +10.6% | +15.1% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 2.7% | N/A | +10.3% |
| Average | 45 | — | +1.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is F below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ford Motor Company (F) is currently 8.7% above its 200-week moving average of $10.59. It would need to fall to $10.59 to cross below the line.
What is F's 200-week moving average price?
Ford Motor Company's 200-week moving average is $10.59 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when F drops below its 200-week moving average?
F has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 45 weeks on average.
Is F a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about F as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 30. Free cash flow yield is 3.8%. Return on equity is -20.2%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does F compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in F would have grown to $450, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 4.6% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. F has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does F pay a dividend?
Yes. Ford Motor Company currently pays a dividend yield of 521.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20