EXR

Extra Space Storage Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Industrial Investor Relations →

YES
0.5% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -2.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $140.68
14-Week RSI 58

Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) closed at $140.01 as of 2026-02-02, trading 0.5% below its 200-week moving average of $140.68. This places EXR in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -2.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1072 weeks of data, EXR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.8%.

With a market cap of $31.0 billion, EXR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at 6.8%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.

Share count has increased 58.3% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 20.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXR would have grown to $1987, compared to $816 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.6% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming EXR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 25.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: EXR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After EXR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying EXR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.0% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.5% vs +20.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

EXR has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +12.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 2007Aug 200724.6%+17.5%+1971.4%
Nov 2007Jan 2008117.2%-16.5%+1870.9%
Feb 2008Feb 200820.4%-41.2%+1872.4%
Oct 2008Mar 20107361.6%-11.5%+1988.6%
Mar 2020Mar 202016.3%+63.9%+118.2%
May 2020May 202014.4%+82.8%+112.7%
Jul 2023Dec 20231924.9%+36.2%+23.4%
Feb 2024Feb 202411.2%+16.0%+9.0%
Mar 2024Mar 202422.4%+8.4%+9.5%
Apr 2024May 202447.2%-0.9%+7.3%
May 2024May 202411.1%+6.5%+5.9%
Dec 2024Jan 202552.9%-7.6%+0.7%
Mar 2025Jun 20251610.9%N/A+1.0%
Jul 2025Oct 2025138.1%N/A-3.3%
Oct 2025Jan 2026119.9%N/A+6.1%
Jan 2026Ongoing2+2.1%Ongoing+1.5%
Average10+12.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02