EXPO
Exponent, Inc. Industrials - Engineering & Construction Investor Relations →
Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) closed at $65.28 as of 2026-05-01, trading 23.0% below its 200-week moving average of $84.81. This places EXPO in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -22.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1815 weeks of data, EXPO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXPO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.9%.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, EXPO is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 27.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.3x book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXPO would have grown to $7394, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.8% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming EXPO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 14.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EXPO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXPO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EXPO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.8% after 12 months (median +30.0%), compared to +24.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +25.9% vs +43.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXPO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXPO has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +25.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1991 | Jul 1995 | 208 | 61.3% | -57.8% | +3712.6% |
| Aug 1995 | Dec 1995 | 19 | 25.2% | N/A | +9284.9% |
| Jan 1996 | Apr 1996 | 15 | 14.5% | +14.0% | +11249.2% |
| May 1996 | Jun 1996 | 1 | 3.6% | +8.7% | +10509.1% |
| Sep 1996 | Sep 1996 | 1 | 0.2% | +27.3% | +10255.8% |
| Oct 1996 | Dec 1996 | 8 | 2.0% | +64.8% | +10480.3% |
| Feb 1997 | Apr 1997 | 10 | 26.2% | +79.5% | +10991.3% |
| Jun 1997 | Jun 1997 | 1 | 3.0% | +69.8% | +11249.2% |
| Aug 1998 | Jun 1999 | 43 | 37.5% | +30.1% | +11659.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Dec 1999 | 17 | 21.3% | +27.8% | +8937.3% |
| Dec 1999 | Jan 2000 | 5 | 9.0% | +41.7% | +9376.0% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 0.8% | +30.9% | +8314.1% |
| Feb 2009 | Feb 2009 | 1 | 6.6% | +30.5% | +1401.8% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 1.6% | +10.3% | -21.5% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2023 | 4 | 2.8% | +19.9% | -23.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Apr 2024 | 33 | 19.7% | +17.6% | -23.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 73+ | 26.4% | Ongoing | -28.5% |
| Average | 26 | — | +25.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) is trading 23.0% below its 200-week moving average of $84.81. The current price is $65.28.
What is EXPO's 200-week moving average price?
Exponent, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $84.81 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EXPO drops below its 200-week moving average?
EXPO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is EXPO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EXPO as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 41. Return on equity is 27.9%. Price-to-book is 8.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EXPO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in EXPO would have grown to $7394, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 13.8% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. EXPO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EXPO pay a dividend?
Yes. Exponent, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 187.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01