EXPI
eXp World Holdings, Inc. Real Estate - Real Estate Services Investor Relations →
eXp World Holdings, Inc. (EXPI) closed at $6.44 as of 2026-05-01, trading 45.4% below its 200-week moving average of $11.80. This places EXPI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -45.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 22, EXPI is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.15 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 381 weeks of data, EXPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 69 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXPI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +148.3%.
With a market cap of $1026 million, EXPI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -10.1%. The stock trades at 4.3x book value.
Share count has increased 5.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 7.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXPI would have grown to $126, compared to $297 for the S&P 500. EXPI has returned 3.2% annualized vs 16.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -18.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EXPI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXPI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying EXPI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +105.8% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +332.8% vs +42.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXPI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXPI has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +148.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2019 | Dec 2019 | 47 | 31.1% | +3.6% | +32.4% |
| Dec 2019 | Jun 2020 | 22 | 37.9% | +470.2% | +24.9% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2023 | 66 | 44.8% | -29.0% | -59.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Ongoing | 142+ | 57.2% | Ongoing | -65.1% |
| Average | 69 | — | +148.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, eXp World Holdings, Inc. (EXPI) is trading 45.4% below its 200-week moving average of $11.80. The current price is $6.44.
What is EXPI's 200-week moving average price?
eXp World Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $11.80 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EXPI drops below its 200-week moving average?
EXPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +148.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 69 weeks on average.
Is EXPI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EXPI as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 22 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 11.4%. Return on equity is -10.1%. Price-to-book is 4.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EXPI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.3 years, $100 invested in EXPI would have grown to $126, compared to $297 for the S&P 500. That's 3.2% annualized vs 16.0% for the index. EXPI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EXPI pay a dividend?
Yes. eXp World Holdings, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 311.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01