EXPI
eXp World Holdings, Inc. Real Estate - Real Estate Services Investor Relations →
eXp World Holdings, Inc. (EXPI) closed at $8.66 as of 2026-02-02, trading 29.5% below its 200-week moving average of $12.29. This places EXPI in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -26.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 369 weeks of data, EXPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 66 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXPI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +148.3%.
With a market cap of $1376 million, EXPI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -8.1%. The stock trades at 5.8x book value.
Share count has increased 3.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 7.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXPI would have grown to $168, compared to $284 for the S&P 500. EXPI has returned 7.6% annualized vs 15.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: EXPI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXPI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying EXPI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +105.8% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +332.8% vs +42.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXPI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXPI has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +148.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2019 | Dec 2019 | 47 | 31.1% | +3.6% | +76.6% |
| Dec 2019 | Jun 2020 | 22 | 37.9% | +470.2% | +66.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2023 | 66 | 44.8% | -29.0% | -45.6% |
| Aug 2023 | Ongoing | 130+ | 57.2% | Ongoing | -53.4% |
| Average | 66 | — | +148.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02