EXPE
Expedia Group Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Travel Services Investor Relations →
Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) closed at $236.85 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.0% above its 200-week moving average of $145.27. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 82.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1024 weeks of data, EXPE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXPE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.4%.
With a market cap of $29.3 billion, EXPE is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 53.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 21.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 17.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 19.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXPE would have grown to $1209, compared to $783 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.5% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming EXPE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -8.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: EXPE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXPE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EXPE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.5% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +7.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.3% vs +28.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXPE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXPE has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +12.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2006 | Dec 2006 | 23 | 34.0% | +95.4% | +1109.2% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 4 | 7.3% | -69.3% | +761.1% |
| May 2008 | Jul 2009 | 62 | 69.8% | -30.9% | +736.8% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 7 | 11.3% | +38.5% | +792.6% |
| Feb 2011 | Mar 2011 | 6 | 6.3% | +8.2% | +740.4% |
| Dec 2011 | Jan 2012 | 4 | 28.4% | +174.8% | +1079.5% |
| Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 4 | 6.1% | +27.1% | +135.5% |
| Mar 2018 | May 2018 | 7 | 4.6% | +15.8% | +130.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 2 | 3.8% | -17.3% | +107.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 6.9% | +1.1% | +120.1% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | -48.9% | +103.2% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 4.3% | -40.9% | +103.6% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2020 | 53 | 59.4% | +2.7% | +137.4% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 4.7% | -22.4% | +91.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Nov 2023 | 75 | 32.3% | -4.1% | +107.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Aug 2024 | 18 | 15.7% | +17.4% | +85.1% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.9% | +63.6% | +80.5% |
| Average | 16 | — | +12.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02