EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics Investor Relations →
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) closed at $146.35 as of 2026-03-20, trading 26.4% above its 200-week moving average of $115.74. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 23.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2116 weeks of data, EXPD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXPD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.
With a market cap of $19.6 billion, EXPD is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 35.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.3x book value.
EXPD is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 105.00%. The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.2% over the past three years. EXPD passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXPD would have grown to $18433, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.0% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming EXPD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -22.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EXPD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXPD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EXPD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.2% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 94% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.1% vs +33.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXPD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXPD has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 23 | 25.5% | +74.5% | +35458.8% |
| Apr 1993 | May 1993 | 5 | 7.2% | +24.0% | +24004.8% |
| Jun 1993 | Aug 1993 | 10 | 7.7% | +35.5% | +23912.0% |
| Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | 0.5% | +58.5% | +23022.7% |
| Jul 2008 | Apr 2010 | 90 | 37.2% | -8.8% | +391.6% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 8 | 10.9% | +39.7% | +368.8% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 4 | 5.2% | +0.7% | +354.5% |
| Jun 2012 | Dec 2012 | 28 | 12.3% | -2.9% | +351.2% |
| Feb 2013 | Jul 2013 | 20 | 12.9% | +3.3% | +346.7% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 4 | 2.0% | +1.1% | +321.9% |
| Jan 2014 | May 2014 | 14 | 7.3% | +8.4% | +318.3% |
| Aug 2014 | Sep 2014 | 4 | 3.3% | +19.9% | +317.3% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 5 | 8.0% | +15.9% | +314.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 13.1% | +90.4% | +185.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 3.4% | +31.5% | +74.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 5 | 3.0% | +38.8% | +32.9% |
| Feb 2025 | Feb 2025 | 1 | 2.0% | +51.3% | +34.2% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 6 | 5.3% | N/A | +35.9% |
| Average | 13 | — | +28.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPD below its 200-week moving average?
No. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) is currently 26.4% above its 200-week moving average of $115.74. It would need to fall to $115.74 to cross below the line.
What is EXPD's 200-week moving average price?
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $115.74 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EXPD drops below its 200-week moving average?
EXPD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is EXPD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EXPD as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 4.1%. Return on equity is 35.4%. Price-to-book is 8.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EXPD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in EXPD would have grown to $18433, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 17.0% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. EXPD has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EXPD pay a dividend?
Yes. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 105.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20