EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics Investor Relations →
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) closed at $165.04 as of 2026-02-02, trading 44.4% above its 200-week moving average of $114.28. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 40.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 92, EXPD is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2110 weeks of data, EXPD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXPD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.
With a market cap of $22.4 billion, EXPD is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.3%. Return on equity stands at 36.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.7x book value.
EXPD is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 93.00%. The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 17.5% over the past three years. EXPD passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXPD would have grown to $20787, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming EXPD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: EXPD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXPD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EXPD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.5% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +14.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 94% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.1% vs +33.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXPD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXPD has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 23 | 25.5% | +74.5% | +39999.9% |
| Apr 1993 | May 1993 | 5 | 7.2% | +24.0% | +27083.1% |
| Jun 1993 | Aug 1993 | 10 | 7.7% | +35.5% | +26978.6% |
| Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | 0.5% | +58.5% | +25975.6% |
| Jul 2008 | Apr 2010 | 90 | 37.2% | -8.8% | +454.4% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 8 | 10.9% | +39.7% | +428.7% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 4 | 5.2% | +0.7% | +412.6% |
| Jun 2012 | Dec 2012 | 28 | 12.3% | -2.9% | +408.8% |
| Feb 2013 | Jul 2013 | 20 | 12.9% | +3.3% | +403.8% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 4 | 2.0% | +1.1% | +375.8% |
| Jan 2014 | May 2014 | 14 | 7.3% | +8.4% | +371.7% |
| Aug 2014 | Sep 2014 | 4 | 3.3% | +19.9% | +370.6% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 5 | 8.0% | +15.9% | +367.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 13.1% | +90.4% | +222.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 3.4% | +31.5% | +96.3% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 5 | 3.0% | +38.8% | +49.8% |
| Feb 2025 | Feb 2025 | 1 | 2.0% | +51.3% | +51.3% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 6 | 5.3% | N/A | +53.3% |
| Average | 13 | — | +28.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02