EXP
Eagle Materials Inc. Basic Materials - Building Materials Investor Relations →
Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) closed at $173.07 as of 2026-03-20, trading 12.9% below its 200-week moving average of $198.82. This places EXP in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -6.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1618 weeks of data, EXP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.8%.
With a market cap of $5.5 billion, EXP is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at 28.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 31.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXP would have grown to $5990, compared to $2235 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.1% vs 10.5% for the index — confirming EXP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EXP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying EXP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.9% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +2.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.5% vs +19.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXP has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +14.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1995 | Jun 1995 | 1 | 2.2% | +30.9% | +6475.8% |
| Feb 2000 | Apr 2000 | 9 | 21.5% | +9.8% | +2605.8% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2001 | 55 | 27.3% | +2.1% | +2378.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Oct 2001 | 11 | 14.3% | +21.7% | +2164.4% |
| Nov 2001 | Jan 2002 | 10 | 8.4% | +15.3% | +2159.1% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 2.7% | +3.6% | +2191.3% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 1.4% | +59.9% | +2159.7% |
| Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 1 | 1.5% | -51.2% | +482.0% |
| Dec 2007 | Apr 2010 | 121 | 57.2% | -49.1% | +468.6% |
| May 2010 | Jan 2011 | 39 | 25.7% | -5.8% | +547.5% |
| May 2011 | May 2011 | 1 | 0.8% | +35.2% | +603.8% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 1.8% | +28.5% | +617.4% |
| Jul 2011 | Dec 2011 | 23 | 37.1% | +60.6% | +671.6% |
| Oct 2015 | Apr 2016 | 25 | 29.1% | +18.6% | +177.5% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 2 | 2.8% | +39.0% | +142.8% |
| Sep 2018 | Apr 2019 | 29 | 32.6% | +5.1% | +110.9% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | -22.0% | +108.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 10 | 6.7% | -16.6% | +109.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Oct 2020 | 35 | 50.2% | +36.1% | +106.7% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 3 | 4.2% | +74.6% | +109.0% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 13.0% | Ongoing | -11.9% |
| Average | 18 | — | +14.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXP below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) is trading 12.9% below its 200-week moving average of $198.82. The current price is $173.07.
What is EXP's 200-week moving average price?
Eagle Materials Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $198.82 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EXP drops below its 200-week moving average?
EXP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is EXP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EXP as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 34. Free cash flow yield is 2.8%. Return on equity is 28.8%. Price-to-book is 3.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EXP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.1 years, $100 invested in EXP would have grown to $5990, compared to $2235 for the S&P 500. That's 14.1% annualized vs 10.5% for the index. EXP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EXP pay a dividend?
Yes. Eagle Materials Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 58.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20