EXP
Eagle Materials Inc. Basic Materials - Building Materials Investor Relations →
Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) closed at $225.85 as of 2026-02-02, trading 15.0% above its 200-week moving average of $196.46. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 4.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1612 weeks of data, EXP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.8%.
With a market cap of $7.2 billion, EXP is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.2%. Return on equity stands at 28.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 31 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXP would have grown to $7806, compared to $2374 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.1% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming EXP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: EXP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying EXP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.9% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +2.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.5% vs +19.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXP has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +14.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1995 | Jun 1995 | 1 | 2.2% | +30.9% | +8469.7% |
| Feb 2000 | Apr 2000 | 9 | 21.5% | +9.8% | +3426.2% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2001 | 55 | 27.3% | +2.1% | +3129.4% |
| Aug 2001 | Oct 2001 | 11 | 14.3% | +21.7% | +2851.0% |
| Nov 2001 | Jan 2002 | 10 | 8.4% | +15.2% | +2844.1% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 2.7% | +3.6% | +2886.0% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 1.4% | +59.9% | +2844.8% |
| Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 1 | 1.5% | -51.2% | +658.4% |
| Dec 2007 | Apr 2010 | 121 | 57.2% | -49.1% | +641.0% |
| May 2010 | Jan 2011 | 39 | 25.7% | -5.8% | +743.9% |
| May 2011 | May 2011 | 1 | 0.8% | +35.2% | +817.2% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 1.8% | +28.5% | +835.0% |
| Jul 2011 | Dec 2011 | 23 | 37.1% | +60.6% | +905.6% |
| Oct 2015 | Apr 2016 | 25 | 29.1% | +18.6% | +261.7% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 2 | 2.8% | +39.0% | +216.4% |
| Sep 2018 | Apr 2019 | 29 | 32.6% | +5.1% | +174.8% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | -22.0% | +171.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 10 | 6.7% | -16.6% | +173.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Oct 2020 | 35 | 50.2% | +36.1% | +169.4% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 3 | 4.2% | +74.6% | +172.3% |
| Average | 19 | — | +14.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02