EXC
Exelon Corporation Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
Exelon Corporation (EXC) closed at $46.50 as of 2026-05-01, trading 20.2% above its 200-week moving average of $38.69. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 21.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2717 weeks of data, EXC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.4%.
With a market cap of $47.6 billion, EXC is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.9%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 2.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXC would have grown to $1765, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. EXC has returned 9.0% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EXC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying EXC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.3% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.1% vs +38.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXC has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +23.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Jun 1975 | 60 | 41.2% | -18.8% | +21882.0% |
| Sep 1975 | Oct 1975 | 2 | 0.4% | +47.9% | +24435.2% |
| Nov 1979 | Dec 1979 | 8 | 4.1% | +4.2% | +15212.2% |
| Jan 1980 | May 1980 | 15 | 13.2% | +2.5% | +14745.1% |
| Aug 1980 | Sep 1980 | 2 | 2.8% | +12.6% | +14368.8% |
| Sep 1980 | May 1981 | 36 | 8.5% | +13.1% | +14180.3% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 2 | 8.6% | +67.7% | +9841.3% |
| Aug 1984 | Aug 1984 | 1 | 2.7% | +59.2% | +9951.7% |
| Apr 1990 | Oct 1990 | 30 | 12.1% | +27.3% | +3350.6% |
| Nov 1990 | Nov 1990 | 1 | 0.5% | +50.9% | +3267.5% |
| Apr 1996 | May 1996 | 4 | 2.4% | -14.3% | +1554.0% |
| May 1996 | Jun 1996 | 4 | 3.8% | -16.7% | +1534.2% |
| Jul 1996 | Oct 1996 | 15 | 5.4% | -4.2% | +1542.5% |
| Jan 1997 | Aug 1997 | 29 | 19.3% | -10.7% | +1589.5% |
| Jan 1998 | Apr 1998 | 11 | 14.4% | +109.0% | +1792.6% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 2 | 3.0% | +23.2% | +688.3% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 7.6% | +30.0% | +594.5% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 3 | 5.1% | +39.8% | +603.7% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 1.4% | +46.0% | +583.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2014 | 287 | 34.6% | -17.0% | +116.3% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 6 | 5.2% | +8.2% | +208.5% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 1 | 0.3% | +7.5% | +198.6% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 2.9% | +25.9% | +208.9% |
| Aug 2015 | Feb 2016 | 23 | 15.3% | +12.2% | +201.1% |
| Nov 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.5% | +43.0% | +203.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Oct 2020 | 30 | 20.0% | +21.8% | +122.4% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 2 | 2.7% | +60.0% | +103.3% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 2 | 2.9% | +21.3% | +47.4% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 4 | 3.3% | +27.3% | +42.6% |
| Average | 20 | — | +23.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Exelon Corporation (EXC) is currently 20.2% above its 200-week moving average of $38.69. It would need to fall to $38.69 to cross below the line.
What is EXC's 200-week moving average price?
Exelon Corporation's 200-week moving average is $38.69 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EXC drops below its 200-week moving average?
EXC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is EXC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EXC as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 58. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.9%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EXC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in EXC would have grown to $1765, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 9.0% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. EXC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EXC pay a dividend?
Yes. Exelon Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 361.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01