EXC
Exelon Corporation Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
Exelon Corporation (EXC) closed at $44.33 as of 2026-02-02, trading 14.9% above its 200-week moving average of $38.57. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 16.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2705 weeks of data, EXC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EXC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.4%.
With a market cap of $44.8 billion, EXC is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.3%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 2.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EXC would have grown to $1669, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. EXC has returned 8.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: EXC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EXC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying EXC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.3% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.1% vs +38.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EXC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EXC has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +23.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Jun 1975 | 60 | 41.2% | -18.8% | +20678.3% |
| Sep 1975 | Oct 1975 | 2 | 0.4% | +47.9% | +23091.6% |
| Nov 1979 | Dec 1979 | 8 | 4.1% | +4.2% | +14373.7% |
| Jan 1980 | May 1980 | 15 | 13.2% | +2.5% | +13932.2% |
| Aug 1980 | Sep 1980 | 2 | 2.8% | +12.6% | +13576.5% |
| Sep 1980 | May 1981 | 36 | 8.5% | +13.1% | +13398.3% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 2 | 8.6% | +67.7% | +9296.9% |
| Aug 1984 | Aug 1984 | 1 | 2.7% | +59.2% | +9401.3% |
| Apr 1990 | Oct 1990 | 30 | 12.1% | +27.3% | +3161.6% |
| Nov 1990 | Nov 1990 | 1 | 0.5% | +50.9% | +3083.1% |
| Apr 1996 | May 1996 | 4 | 2.4% | -14.3% | +1463.4% |
| May 1996 | Jun 1996 | 4 | 3.8% | -16.7% | +1444.7% |
| Jul 1996 | Oct 1996 | 15 | 5.4% | -4.2% | +1452.6% |
| Jan 1997 | Aug 1997 | 29 | 19.3% | -10.7% | +1496.9% |
| Jan 1998 | Apr 1998 | 11 | 14.4% | +109.0% | +1689.0% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 2 | 3.0% | +23.2% | +645.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 7.6% | +30.0% | +556.5% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 3 | 5.1% | +39.8% | +565.2% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 1.4% | +46.0% | +545.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2014 | 287 | 34.6% | -17.0% | +104.5% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 6 | 5.2% | +8.2% | +191.6% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 1 | 0.3% | +7.5% | +182.3% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 2.9% | +25.9% | +192.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Feb 2016 | 23 | 15.3% | +12.2% | +184.6% |
| Nov 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.5% | +43.0% | +186.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Oct 2020 | 30 | 20.0% | +21.8% | +110.2% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 2 | 2.7% | +60.0% | +92.2% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 2 | 2.9% | +21.3% | +39.3% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 4 | 3.3% | +27.3% | +34.8% |
| Average | 20 | — | +23.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02