EVTC

EVERTEC, Inc. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →

YES
17.4% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -12.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $33.46
14-Week RSI 55
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.7x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.80

EVERTEC, Inc. (EVTC) closed at $27.65 as of 2026-09-18, trading 17.4% below its 200-week moving average of $33.46. This places EVTC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -12.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 653 weeks of data, EVTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EVTC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.9%.

With a market cap of $1652 million, EVTC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 14.8%. The stock trades at 2.6x book value.

Over the past 12.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EVTC would have grown to $129, compared to $502 for the S&P 500. EVTC has returned 2.0% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -0.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: EVTC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After EVTC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 14 historical episodes, buying EVTC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.5% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +20.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.0% vs +39.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EVTC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EVTC would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.43σ
Current FCF Yield 8.14%
Baseline Yield 7.61%
Historical σ 0.67pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where EVTC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$24.51Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$26.42Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$28.66Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$31.31Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$34.50Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-08-04$0.95$1.05+10.6%
2026-05-06$0.92$0.90-2.2%
2026-02-26$0.90$0.93+2.8%
2025-11-06$0.89$0.92+3.5%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from EVTC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.42σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.93σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.83σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -1.3pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 86th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +2.4pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (-0.3pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

EVTC has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +7.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 2014May 201410.8%+2.3%+38.7%
Jul 2014Aug 201443.4%-15.5%+39.8%
Sep 2014May 20153411.4%-17.6%+37.8%
Jun 2015Aug 201711045.3%-23.8%+44.2%
Sep 2017Apr 20182926.0%+34.5%+66.7%
Mar 2020Apr 202038.7%+86.8%+39.3%
Jun 2022Jun 202213.0%+7.9%-15.7%
Aug 2022Jan 20232313.8%+16.5%-18.8%
Feb 2023Feb 202311.2%+18.0%-20.4%
Mar 2023Jun 20231610.7%+11.4%-16.9%
Oct 2023Nov 2023710.1%-8.7%-23.0%
Feb 2024Mar 202441.9%+1.8%-23.9%
Apr 2024Aug 20257016.8%-10.5%-25.0%
Aug 2025Ongoing56+33.9%Ongoing-22.1%
Average26+7.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is EVTC below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-09-18, EVERTEC, Inc. (EVTC) is trading 17.4% below its 200-week moving average of $33.46. The current price is $27.65.

What is EVTC's 200-week moving average price?

EVERTEC, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $33.46 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when EVTC drops below its 200-week moving average?

EVTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.

Is EVTC a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about EVTC as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow yield is 9.2%. Return on equity is 14.8%. Price-to-book is 2.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does EVTC compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 12.6 years, $100 invested in EVTC would have grown to $129, compared to $502 for the S&P 500. That's 2.0% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. EVTC has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does EVTC pay a dividend?

Yes. EVERTEC, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 71.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18