EVH

Evolent Health, Inc. Healthcare - Health Information Services Investor Relations โ†’

YES
87.4% BELOW
โ†“ Approaching Was -85.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $22.60
14-Week RSI 15 ๐Ÿ“‰

Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH) closed at $2.85 as of 2026-02-02, trading 87.4% below its 200-week moving average of $22.60. This places EVH in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -85.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 15, EVH is in oversold territory.

Over the past 509 weeks of data, EVH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 33 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -12.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $331 million, EVH is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -12.4%. The stock trades at 0.4x book value.

Share count has increased 28.9% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EVH would have grown to $18, compared to $386 for the S&P 500. EVH has returned -15.8% annualized vs 14.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny โ€” the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: EVH vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After EVH Crosses Below the Line?

Across 7 historical episodes, buying EVH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -18.7% after 12 months (median -42.0%), compared to +20.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 29% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -3.8% vs +34.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EVH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

EVH has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-12.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 2016May 2016213.5%+96.6%-77.7%
Dec 2016Jan 2017512.9%-21.0%-82.6%
Aug 2017May 20183939.0%+19.3%-84.5%
Dec 2018Dec 201813.4%-57.9%-84.1%
Jan 2019Nov 20209871.5%-45.7%-84.4%
May 2024Aug 20241427.8%-63.0%-88.3%
Sep 2024Ongoing71+87.4%Ongoing-89.2%
Average33โ€”+-12.0%โ€”

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02