ETN
Eaton Corporation plc Industrials - Electrical Equipment Investor Relations →
Eaton Corporation plc (ETN) closed at $415.20 as of 2026-07-31, trading 46.5% above its 200-week moving average of $283.42. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 43.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.93 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2778 weeks of data, ETN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ETN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +33.0%.
Return on equity stands at 20.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.2x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ETN would have grown to $13067, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.6% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming ETN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 22.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ETN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ETN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying ETN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +34.4% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +15.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.1% vs +21.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ETN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ETN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ETN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $367.00 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $382.30 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $398.92 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $417.05 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $436.92 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ETN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ETN has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +33.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Oct 1973 | 21 | 22.7% | -8.1% | +161424.9% |
| Oct 1973 | Oct 1975 | 105 | 36.8% | -35.5% | +146290.3% |
| Mar 1980 | May 1980 | 9 | 13.2% | +60.5% | +106331.6% |
| Jun 1982 | Aug 1982 | 8 | 11.2% | +75.9% | +84204.8% |
| Feb 1990 | Mar 1990 | 4 | 1.7% | +21.2% | +22289.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 25 | 21.7% | +26.9% | +21466.3% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 9 | 9.2% | +55.6% | +6916.5% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 1 | 0.7% | +13.1% | +6668.1% |
| Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 3 | 1.5% | +3.3% | +6571.1% |
| Nov 1999 | Nov 1999 | 1 | 2.8% | +0.9% | +6088.1% |
| Dec 1999 | Feb 2000 | 12 | 15.9% | -0.8% | +5882.5% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 0.2% | +32.1% | +5745.5% |
| May 2000 | Jan 2001 | 32 | 21.9% | +47.5% | +5772.8% |
| Jul 2008 | Feb 2010 | 83 | 55.2% | -35.8% | +1721.8% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 4.0% | +69.7% | +1837.8% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 0.4% | +43.1% | +1618.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Mar 2016 | 29 | 18.7% | +23.9% | +835.0% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 3.4% | +37.1% | +787.6% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 0.2% | +32.7% | +732.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +47.2% | +625.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 11.5% | +109.5% | +610.5% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 0.7% | +106.0% | +525.3% |
| Average | 16 | — | +33.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Eaton Corporation plc (ETN) is currently 46.5% above its 200-week moving average of $283.42. It would need to fall to $283.42 to cross below the line.
What is ETN's 200-week moving average price?
Eaton Corporation plc's 200-week moving average is $283.42 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ETN drops below its 200-week moving average?
ETN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +33.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is ETN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ETN as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 47. Return on equity is 20.8%. Price-to-book is 8.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ETN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in ETN would have grown to $13067, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 15.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. ETN has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ETN pay a dividend?
Yes. Eaton Corporation plc currently pays a dividend yield of 114.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31