ETD
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Investor Relations →
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) closed at $21.17 as of 2026-06-19, trading 12.6% below its 200-week moving average of $24.21. This places ETD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -10.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.9x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1687 weeks of data, ETD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ETD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.0%.
With a market cap of $539 million, ETD is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 8.5%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 32.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ETD would have grown to $598, compared to $2835 for the S&P 500. ETD has returned 5.7% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -3.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ETD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ETD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying ETD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.0% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +9.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.2% vs +18.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ETD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ETD would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ETD's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $19.27 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $20.34 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $21.54 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $22.88 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $24.41 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ETD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ETD has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +16.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1994 | May 1994 | 1 | 3.3% | -17.1% | +632.0% |
| Jun 1994 | Aug 1994 | 11 | 16.0% | -13.0% | +609.2% |
| Sep 1994 | Oct 1994 | 4 | 10.5% | +0.6% | +673.4% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 5 | 11.9% | -9.6% | +632.0% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1996 | 54 | 24.8% | -13.8% | +624.3% |
| Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 1 | 4.6% | +133.7% | +676.5% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 5 | 7.5% | +57.5% | +143.4% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 4 | 7.9% | +47.9% | +130.5% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 2.3% | +49.2% | +125.5% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 0.9% | +26.8% | +114.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 8.4% | +16.9% | +99.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 6.1% | +20.7% | +86.8% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 6.1% | +26.3% | +86.2% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 11 | 10.2% | +39.8% | +74.9% |
| Mar 2005 | Oct 2005 | 32 | 11.2% | +29.5% | +49.9% |
| Aug 2006 | Sep 2006 | 2 | 2.2% | +1.5% | +43.6% |
| Oct 2006 | Nov 2006 | 1 | 0.5% | -9.5% | +41.5% |
| Mar 2007 | Mar 2007 | 1 | 0.7% | -21.0% | +38.3% |
| May 2007 | May 2007 | 1 | 1.1% | -13.8% | +38.0% |
| Jun 2007 | Jan 2011 | 188 | 75.7% | -23.8% | +36.5% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 3.1% | +18.1% | +133.5% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 25.0% | +10.8% | +134.5% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.7% | +71.3% | +145.3% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 3 | 2.9% | +30.8% | +78.4% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 3 | 1.9% | +20.8% | +72.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 6.1% | +42.0% | +57.9% |
| May 2017 | Jun 2017 | 2 | 1.5% | -8.1% | +40.4% |
| Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 0.4% | -24.9% | +38.0% |
| Jan 2018 | Nov 2020 | 150 | 60.9% | -25.6% | +36.3% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 34+ | 23.6% | Ongoing | -7.6% |
| Average | 18 | — | +16.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETD below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) is trading 12.6% below its 200-week moving average of $24.21. The current price is $21.17.
What is ETD's 200-week moving average price?
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.21 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ETD drops below its 200-week moving average?
ETD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +16.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is ETD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ETD as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 47. Free cash flow yield is 6.3%. Return on equity is 8.5%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ETD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.4 years, $100 invested in ETD would have grown to $598, compared to $2835 for the S&P 500. That's 5.7% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. ETD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ETD pay a dividend?
Yes. Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 740.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19