ETD
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Investor Relations →
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) closed at $22.40 as of 2026-07-31, trading 8.1% below its 200-week moving average of $24.37. This places ETD in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -6.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.73 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1693 weeks of data, ETD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ETD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.6%.
With a market cap of $570 million, ETD is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.4%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Over the past 32.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ETD would have grown to $632, compared to $2836 for the S&P 500. ETD has returned 5.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -3.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ETD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ETD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying ETD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.2% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.5% vs +18.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ETD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ETD would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ETD's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $19.53 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $20.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $21.60 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $22.80 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $24.16 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ETD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ETD has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +15.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1994 | May 1994 | 1 | 3.3% | -17.1% | +674.5% |
| Jun 1994 | Aug 1994 | 11 | 16.0% | -13.0% | +650.4% |
| Sep 1994 | Oct 1994 | 4 | 10.5% | +0.6% | +718.3% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 5 | 11.9% | -9.6% | +674.5% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1996 | 54 | 24.8% | -13.8% | +666.3% |
| Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 1 | 4.6% | +133.7% | +721.6% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 5 | 7.5% | +57.5% | +157.5% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 4 | 7.9% | +47.9% | +143.9% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 2.4% | +49.2% | +138.6% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 0.9% | +26.8% | +126.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 8.4% | +16.9% | +111.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 6.1% | +20.7% | +97.7% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 6.1% | +26.3% | +97.0% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 11 | 10.2% | +39.8% | +85.1% |
| Mar 2005 | Jul 2005 | 16 | 11.3% | +27.3% | +57.0% |
| Jul 2005 | Oct 2005 | 15 | 9.2% | +6.4% | +58.6% |
| Aug 2006 | Sep 2006 | 2 | 2.3% | +1.5% | +51.9% |
| Oct 2006 | Nov 2006 | 1 | 0.5% | -9.5% | +49.7% |
| Mar 2007 | Mar 2007 | 1 | 0.8% | -21.0% | +46.3% |
| May 2007 | May 2007 | 1 | 1.2% | -13.8% | +46.0% |
| Jun 2007 | Jan 2011 | 188 | 75.7% | -23.8% | +44.5% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 3.1% | +18.1% | +147.0% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 25.0% | +10.8% | +148.1% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.7% | +71.3% | +159.6% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 3 | 2.9% | +30.8% | +88.8% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 3 | 2.0% | +20.8% | +82.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 6.1% | +42.0% | +66.2% |
| May 2017 | Jun 2017 | 2 | 1.5% | -8.1% | +48.6% |
| Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 0.5% | -24.9% | +46.0% |
| Jan 2018 | Dec 2020 | 152 | 60.9% | -25.6% | +44.2% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 40+ | 22.1% | Ongoing | -2.3% |
| Average | 18 | — | +15.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETD below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) is trading 8.1% below its 200-week moving average of $24.37. The current price is $22.40.
What is ETD's 200-week moving average price?
Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.37 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ETD drops below its 200-week moving average?
ETD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is ETD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ETD as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 52. Return on equity is 8.4%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ETD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.5 years, $100 invested in ETD would have grown to $632, compared to $2836 for the S&P 500. That's 5.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. ETD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ETD pay a dividend?
Yes. Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 681.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31