ESE
ESCO Technologies Inc. Industrials - Utility Solutions Investor Relations →
ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) closed at $270.30 as of 2026-09-11, trading 69.8% above its 200-week moving average of $159.15. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 73.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1827 weeks of data, ESE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ESE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.4%.
With a market cap of $7.0 billion, ESE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.3%. Return on equity stands at 9.5%. The stock trades at 4.3x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ESE would have grown to $10041, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.6% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming ESE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 28.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ESE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ESE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying ESE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.9% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.6% vs +25.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ESE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ESE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ESE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-19.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $268.58 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $296.75 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $331.54 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $375.56 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $433.06 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | $2.12 | $2.20 | +3.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | $1.84 | $1.91 | +3.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | $1.32 | $1.64 | +24.2% |
| 2025-11-20 | $2.13 | $2.32 | +8.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ESE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ESE has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +17.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1991 | Oct 1991 | 5 | 7.2% | +31.3% | +13078.8% |
| Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 0.4% | +48.1% | +12065.0% |
| Nov 1994 | Feb 1995 | 12 | 16.6% | -1.6% | +9784.1% |
| Feb 1995 | Jun 1995 | 14 | 15.4% | +53.1% | +9784.1% |
| Aug 1995 | Aug 1995 | 2 | 4.8% | +43.9% | +9484.6% |
| Oct 1995 | Dec 1995 | 11 | 10.2% | +44.5% | +9484.6% |
| Sep 1998 | May 1999 | 34 | 24.1% | +27.3% | +6268.9% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 0.1% | +52.6% | +4824.4% |
| Sep 1999 | Jan 2000 | 18 | 22.9% | +52.9% | +4901.7% |
| Jun 2007 | Apr 2008 | 43 | 22.6% | +29.1% | +706.6% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 3 | 9.1% | +2.0% | +615.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Jun 2009 | 36 | 38.7% | -15.5% | +578.5% |
| Jul 2009 | Dec 2010 | 75 | 36.8% | -38.4% | +614.2% |
| Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 3 | 6.5% | -19.2% | +694.9% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 1.0% | -5.1% | +701.1% |
| Apr 2011 | Jun 2011 | 12 | 9.2% | -1.7% | +700.5% |
| Jul 2011 | Feb 2012 | 31 | 30.4% | +1.7% | +705.1% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 2 | 2.1% | +17.2% | +733.9% |
| Apr 2012 | Jun 2012 | 8 | 3.1% | +14.9% | +744.2% |
| May 2013 | Jul 2013 | 9 | 6.6% | +4.2% | +776.8% |
| Aug 2013 | Oct 2013 | 9 | 9.3% | +4.9% | +780.5% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 1.4% | +5.7% | +767.8% |
| Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | +6.6% | +768.6% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 7 | 2.7% | +12.5% | +765.4% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 5 | 2.7% | +9.8% | +743.2% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 2.3% | +13.5% | +754.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 7.7% | +72.8% | +759.2% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 4 | 3.0% | +0.3% | +250.8% |
| Jan 2022 | Aug 2022 | 28 | 24.9% | +20.7% | +249.0% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 | 11.4% | +33.7% | +240.9% |
| Average | 13 | — | +17.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESE below its 200-week moving average?
No. ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) is currently 69.8% above its 200-week moving average of $159.15. It would need to fall to $159.15 to cross below the line.
What is ESE's 200-week moving average price?
ESCO Technologies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $159.15 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ESE drops below its 200-week moving average?
ESE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is ESE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ESE as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 3.3%. Return on equity is 9.5%. Price-to-book is 4.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ESE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in ESE would have grown to $10041, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That's 14.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. ESE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ESE pay a dividend?
Yes. ESCO Technologies Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 12.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11