ESE
ESCO Technologies Inc. Industrials - Utility Solutions Investor Relations →
ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) closed at $315.29 as of 2026-07-31, trading 106.1% above its 200-week moving average of $152.98. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 116.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1821 weeks of data, ESE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ESE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.4%.
Return on equity stands at 9.2%. The stock trades at 5.2x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ESE would have grown to $11712, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.2% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming ESE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 28.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ESE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ESE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying ESE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.9% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.6% vs +25.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ESE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ESE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ESE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $256.44 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $302.01 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $367.28 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $468.55 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $646.90 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ESE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ESE has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +17.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1991 | Oct 1991 | 5 | 7.2% | +31.3% | +15272.3% |
| Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 0.4% | +48.1% | +14089.8% |
| Nov 1994 | Feb 1995 | 12 | 16.6% | -1.6% | +11429.2% |
| Feb 1995 | Jun 1995 | 14 | 15.4% | +53.1% | +11429.2% |
| Aug 1995 | Aug 1995 | 2 | 4.8% | +43.9% | +11079.9% |
| Oct 1995 | Dec 1995 | 11 | 10.2% | +44.5% | +11079.9% |
| Sep 1998 | May 1999 | 34 | 24.1% | +27.3% | +7328.9% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 0.1% | +52.6% | +5644.0% |
| Sep 1999 | Jan 2000 | 18 | 22.9% | +52.9% | +5734.2% |
| Jun 2007 | Apr 2008 | 43 | 22.6% | +29.1% | +840.9% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 3 | 9.1% | +2.0% | +734.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Jun 2009 | 36 | 38.7% | -15.5% | +691.4% |
| Jul 2009 | Dec 2010 | 75 | 36.8% | -38.4% | +733.1% |
| Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 3 | 6.5% | -19.2% | +827.2% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 1.0% | -5.1% | +834.5% |
| Apr 2011 | Jun 2011 | 12 | 9.2% | -1.7% | +833.8% |
| Jul 2011 | Feb 2012 | 31 | 30.4% | +1.7% | +839.2% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 2 | 2.1% | +17.2% | +872.7% |
| Apr 2012 | Jun 2012 | 8 | 3.1% | +14.9% | +884.7% |
| May 2013 | Jul 2013 | 9 | 6.6% | +4.2% | +922.7% |
| Aug 2013 | Oct 2013 | 9 | 9.3% | +4.9% | +927.1% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 1.4% | +5.7% | +912.2% |
| Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | +6.6% | +913.2% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 7 | 2.7% | +12.5% | +909.4% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 5 | 2.7% | +9.8% | +883.6% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 2.3% | +13.5% | +896.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 7.7% | +72.8% | +902.2% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 4 | 3.0% | +0.3% | +309.2% |
| Jan 2022 | Aug 2022 | 28 | 24.9% | +20.7% | +307.1% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 | 11.4% | +33.7% | +297.7% |
| Average | 13 | — | +17.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESE below its 200-week moving average?
No. ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) is currently 106.1% above its 200-week moving average of $152.98. It would need to fall to $152.98 to cross below the line.
What is ESE's 200-week moving average price?
ESCO Technologies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $152.98 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ESE drops below its 200-week moving average?
ESE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is ESE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ESE as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 48. Return on equity is 9.2%. Price-to-book is 5.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ESE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in ESE would have grown to $11712, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 15.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. ESE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ESE pay a dividend?
Yes. ESCO Technologies Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 10.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31