EQBK

Equity Bancshares, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
32.4% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 37.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $35.21
14-Week RSI 62
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.76

Equity Bancshares, Inc. (EQBK) closed at $46.60 as of 2026-06-19, trading 32.4% above its 200-week moving average of $35.21. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 37.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.76 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 505 weeks of data, EQBK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 48 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EQBK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.6%.

With a market cap of $962 million, EQBK is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 3.4%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Share count has increased 19.0% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EQBK would have grown to $192, compared to $410 for the S&P 500. EQBK has returned 6.9% annualized vs 15.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -18.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: EQBK vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After EQBK Crosses Below the Line?

Across 3 historical episodes, buying EQBK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.0% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +16.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +36.3% vs +44.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EQBK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EQBK would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -0.81σ
Current FCF Yield 3.06%
Baseline Yield 3.20%
Historical σ 0.10pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where EQBK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-13.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$42.78Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$44.08Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$45.46Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$46.93Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$48.50Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from EQBK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation +0.57σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.91σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.19σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +2.8pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 27th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+8.0pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

EQBK has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +13.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2019May 202111156.6%-41.7%+78.3%
Mar 2023Jul 20231921.2%+31.1%+100.3%
Aug 2023Nov 20231311.7%+51.3%+89.4%
Average48+13.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is EQBK below its 200-week moving average?

No. Equity Bancshares, Inc. (EQBK) is currently 32.4% above its 200-week moving average of $35.21. It would need to fall to $35.21 to cross below the line.

What is EQBK's 200-week moving average price?

Equity Bancshares, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $35.21 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when EQBK drops below its 200-week moving average?

EQBK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 48 weeks on average.

Is EQBK a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about EQBK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Return on equity is 3.4%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does EQBK compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 9.8 years, $100 invested in EQBK would have grown to $192, compared to $410 for the S&P 500. That's 6.9% annualized vs 15.6% for the index. EQBK has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does EQBK pay a dividend?

Yes. Equity Bancshares, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 152.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19