EPD

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. Energy - Pipelines Investor Relations →

NO
39.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 41.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $26.33
14-Week RSI 50
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.04

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD) closed at $36.60 as of 2026-06-19, trading 39.0% above its 200-week moving average of $26.33. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 41.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1407 weeks of data, EPD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EPD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.4%.

With a market cap of $79.2 billion, EPD is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.2%. Return on equity stands at 19.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.7x book value.

Over the past 27 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EPD would have grown to $4739, compared to $902 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.4% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming EPD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $1,556,487.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -21.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: EPD vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After EPD Crosses Below the Line?

Across 10 historical episodes, buying EPD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.4% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +13.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.9% vs +30.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EPD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EPD would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.78σ
Current FCF Yield 2.69%
Baseline Yield 2.74%
Historical σ 0.30pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where EPD's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$33.26Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$36.91Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$41.47Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$47.32Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$55.08Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from EPD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -1.71σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.40σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.1pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 23th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -8.0pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+3.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Insider Buying Activity

1 conviction buy in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases).

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-07-30MONTGOMERY WILLIAM C. IIIDirector$504,86416,000N/A

Historical Touches

EPD has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +9.4% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 2008Apr 20093029.6%+25.5%+853.5%
Jul 2015Oct 20151110.6%+14.5%+188.3%
Oct 2015May 20163226.3%+5.7%+189.6%
Jun 2016Jun 201610.8%+2.5%+168.2%
Aug 2016Jan 20172411.4%+3.7%+169.5%
Mar 2017Mar 201731.9%-0.3%+158.2%
Apr 2017Dec 2017359.5%+3.2%+160.7%
Feb 2018Apr 2018106.4%+12.9%+157.6%
Dec 2018Dec 201811.6%+25.6%+167.3%
Feb 2020Feb 20215042.2%+0.9%+152.8%
Average20+9.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is EPD below its 200-week moving average?

No. Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD) is currently 39.0% above its 200-week moving average of $26.33. It would need to fall to $26.33 to cross below the line.

What is EPD's 200-week moving average price?

Enterprise Products Partners L.P.'s 200-week moving average is $26.33 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when EPD drops below its 200-week moving average?

EPD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.

Is EPD a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about EPD as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 50. Free cash flow yield is 0.2%. Return on equity is 19.8%. Price-to-book is 2.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does EPD compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 27 years, $100 invested in EPD would have grown to $4739, compared to $902 for the S&P 500. That's 15.4% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. EPD has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does EPD pay a dividend?

Yes. Enterprise Products Partners L.P. currently pays a dividend yield of 601.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19