EPC
Edgewell Personal Care Company Consumer Staples - Personal Care Investor Relations →
Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) closed at $23.11 as of 2026-06-19, trading 26.3% below its 200-week moving average of $31.36. This places EPC in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -27.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.93 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1320 weeks of data, EPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EPC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.5%.
With a market cap of $1065 million, EPC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 22.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -0.7%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.9% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 25.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EPC would have grown to $147, compared to $1011 for the S&P 500. EPC has returned 1.5% annualized vs 9.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EPC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EPC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying EPC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -0.2% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +1.1% vs +28.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EPC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EPC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where EPC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-05-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $17.32 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $19.66 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $22.74 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $26.96 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $33.10 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from EPC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
EPC has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +1.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2001 | Jan 2002 | 27 | 29.2% | +27.2% | +88.3% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 4 | 6.1% | -26.0% | -48.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2010 | 105 | 55.2% | +3.8% | -41.7% |
| Nov 2010 | Dec 2010 | 6 | 8.3% | +3.5% | -45.7% |
| Dec 2010 | Mar 2011 | 13 | 8.4% | +6.3% | -49.6% |
| Apr 2011 | Apr 2011 | 2 | 2.6% | +2.4% | -47.3% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 1.1% | +5.3% | -47.3% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 1 | 1.6% | +13.0% | -44.7% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 1 | 2.1% | +11.3% | -64.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 5.4% | +3.3% | -65.5% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 1.2% | -3.7% | -66.9% |
| Aug 2016 | May 2021 | 247 | 58.0% | -7.2% | -67.9% |
| Sep 2021 | Nov 2021 | 8 | 7.1% | +5.0% | -33.5% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 7 | 2.9% | +22.1% | -30.7% |
| May 2022 | Jul 2022 | 8 | 8.4% | +27.5% | -28.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Dec 2023 | 11 | 5.4% | -1.7% | -31.0% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 1 | 1.9% | -6.8% | -31.4% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 3 | 3.1% | -17.2% | -33.2% |
| Aug 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 1.0% | -40.0% | -35.1% |
| Sep 2024 | Ongoing | 93+ | 50.9% | Ongoing | -35.6% |
| Average | 28 | — | +1.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) is trading 26.3% below its 200-week moving average of $31.36. The current price is $23.11.
What is EPC's 200-week moving average price?
Edgewell Personal Care Company's 200-week moving average is $31.36 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EPC drops below its 200-week moving average?
EPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is EPC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EPC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 22.1%. Return on equity is -0.7%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EPC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.3 years, $100 invested in EPC would have grown to $147, compared to $1011 for the S&P 500. That's 1.5% annualized vs 9.6% for the index. EPC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EPC pay a dividend?
Yes. Edgewell Personal Care Company currently pays a dividend yield of 265.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19