EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group Corp. Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery Investor Relations →
Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) closed at $35.74 as of 2026-07-31, trading 1.7% above its 200-week moving average of $35.13. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -1.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.12 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1309 weeks of data, EPAC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EPAC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +3.2%.
With a market cap of $1842 million, EPAC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 21.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.8% over the past three years. EPAC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 25.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EPAC would have grown to $818, compared to $967 for the S&P 500. EPAC has returned 8.7% annualized vs 9.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 28.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EPAC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EPAC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying EPAC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.6% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +7.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +21.2% vs +29.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EPAC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EPAC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where EPAC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-02-28).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $31.50 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $34.56 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $38.28 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $42.90 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $48.79 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from EPAC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
EPAC has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +3.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 0.1% | +97.9% | +751.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2010 | 105 | 70.1% | -40.0% | +41.5% |
| Oct 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 0.8% | +5.1% | +62.9% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 0.2% | -3.6% | +61.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 19.7% | +40.4% | +82.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.7% | +35.5% | +78.7% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 3.7% | +39.6% | +77.5% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 1.7% | -20.5% | +25.0% |
| Nov 2014 | Nov 2017 | 157 | 39.2% | -16.6% | +23.9% |
| Dec 2017 | Jan 2018 | 5 | 5.8% | -10.8% | +38.9% |
| Jan 2018 | Jun 2018 | 18 | 14.1% | -4.3% | +50.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 3 | 5.2% | -5.3% | +51.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Apr 2019 | 17 | 19.7% | +6.4% | +54.7% |
| May 2019 | Oct 2019 | 25 | 15.1% | -33.6% | +47.4% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 3 | 2.6% | -17.9% | +46.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 3 | 7.0% | -5.2% | +54.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 51 | 39.6% | +15.8% | +68.8% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2022 | 57 | 26.3% | -25.1% | +55.0% |
| May 2026 | Jun 2026 | 4 | 3.0% | N/A | +6.2% |
| Jul 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 1.1% | Ongoing | +3.3% |
| Average | 24 | — | +3.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) is currently 1.7% above its 200-week moving average of $35.13. It would need to fall to $35.13 to cross below the line.
What is EPAC's 200-week moving average price?
Enerpac Tool Group Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $35.13 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EPAC drops below its 200-week moving average?
EPAC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +3.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is EPAC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EPAC as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 5.6%. Return on equity is 21.6%. Price-to-book is 4.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EPAC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.1 years, $100 invested in EPAC would have grown to $818, compared to $967 for the S&P 500. That's 8.7% annualized vs 9.5% for the index. EPAC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EPAC pay a dividend?
Yes. Enerpac Tool Group Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 11.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31