ENSG
The Ensign Group, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Care Facilities Investor Relations →
The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) closed at $178.16 as of 2026-07-31, trading 33.9% above its 200-week moving average of $133.08. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.12 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 929 weeks of data, ENSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 1 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ENSG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +43.8%.
With a market cap of $10.4 billion, ENSG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.7%. Return on equity stands at 17.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.2x book value.
Share count has increased 4.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 17.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ENSG would have grown to $4734, compared to $1066 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 24.1% vs 14.2% for the index — confirming ENSG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ENSG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ENSG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying ENSG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +50.7% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +27.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +167.7% vs +46.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ENSG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ENSG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ENSG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $149.56 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $168.97 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $194.19 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $228.24 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $276.78 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ENSG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ENSG has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +43.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 1 | 0.6% | +27.5% | +5749.4% |
| Feb 2017 | Feb 2017 | 1 | 2.8% | +47.7% | +1035.5% |
| Apr 2017 | May 2017 | 1 | 2.0% | +56.1% | +995.0% |
| Average | 1 | — | +43.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENSG below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) is currently 33.9% above its 200-week moving average of $133.08. It would need to fall to $133.08 to cross below the line.
What is ENSG's 200-week moving average price?
The Ensign Group, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $133.08 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ENSG drops below its 200-week moving average?
ENSG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +43.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 1 weeks on average.
Is ENSG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ENSG as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow yield is 2.7%. Return on equity is 17.0%. Price-to-book is 4.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ENSG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.8 years, $100 invested in ENSG would have grown to $4734, compared to $1066 for the S&P 500. That's 24.1% annualized vs 14.2% for the index. ENSG has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ENSG pay a dividend?
Yes. The Ensign Group, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 15.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31