ENS
EnerSys Industrials - Electrical Equipment & Parts Investor Relations →
EnerSys (ENS) closed at $178.12 as of 2026-09-18, trading 56.7% above its 200-week moving average of $113.66. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 58.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 24, ENS is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.93 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1106 weeks of data, ENS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ENS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.7%.
With a market cap of $6.4 billion, ENS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 18.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 21.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ENS would have grown to $1449, compared to $907 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.4% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming ENS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 34.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ENS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ENS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying ENS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +45.2% after 12 months (median +29.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 96% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +60.0% vs +32.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ENS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ENS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ENS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $170.18 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $189.58 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $213.96 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $245.54 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $288.06 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | $2.83 | $3.66 | +29.5% |
| 2026-05-20 | $2.99 | $3.19 | +6.6% |
| 2026-02-04 | $2.72 | $2.77 | +1.8% |
| 2025-11-05 | $2.35 | $2.56 | +8.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ENS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ENS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +47.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2005 | 1 | 2.7% | +48.3% | +1493.8% |
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2005 | 1 | 0.8% | +33.6% | +1461.9% |
| Dec 2005 | Jan 2006 | 1 | 2.2% | +22.7% | +1453.5% |
| Mar 2006 | Mar 2006 | 3 | 2.9% | +30.2% | +1442.8% |
| May 2006 | May 2006 | 2 | 8.0% | +36.4% | +1540.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 30 | 63.2% | +36.8% | +1202.7% |
| May 2009 | Jun 2009 | 3 | 11.5% | +57.4% | +1166.1% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 2 | 8.3% | +20.3% | +1043.2% |
| Aug 2011 | Nov 2011 | 13 | 17.1% | +77.7% | +841.8% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 6.8% | +53.0% | +812.9% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 0.7% | +41.8% | +289.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 17.4% | +54.8% | +275.9% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 2.9% | +47.3% | +268.9% |
| Aug 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 4.1% | +20.4% | +206.0% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7.6% | -27.8% | +183.3% |
| May 2019 | Oct 2019 | 25 | 21.8% | -7.9% | +190.3% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2019 | 1 | 1.1% | +17.6% | +177.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 23 | 40.3% | +48.2% | +207.5% |
| Aug 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 8.5% | +21.6% | +168.8% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 7 | 5.9% | +9.8% | +151.9% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2022 | 31 | 19.9% | +14.3% | +163.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 5.1% | +121.1% | +122.7% |
| May 2025 | Jun 2025 | 2 | 5.7% | +191.9% | +124.5% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 1.8% | +175.9% | +115.9% |
| Average | 7 | — | +47.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENS below its 200-week moving average?
No. EnerSys (ENS) is currently 56.7% above its 200-week moving average of $113.66. It would need to fall to $113.66 to cross below the line.
What is ENS's 200-week moving average price?
EnerSys's 200-week moving average is $113.66 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ENS drops below its 200-week moving average?
ENS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +47.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is ENS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ENS as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 24 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 9.6%. Return on equity is 18.4%. Price-to-book is 3.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ENS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.2 years, $100 invested in ENS would have grown to $1449, compared to $907 for the S&P 500. That's 13.4% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. ENS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ENS pay a dividend?
Yes. EnerSys currently pays a dividend yield of 65.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18