ENS
EnerSys Industrials - Electrical Equipment & Parts Investor Relations →
EnerSys (ENS) closed at $227.95 as of 2026-06-19, trading 116.5% above its 200-week moving average of $105.29. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 114.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 86, ENS is in overbought territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.67 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1093 weeks of data, ENS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ENS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.7%.
With a market cap of $8.3 billion, ENS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 15.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 21 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ENS would have grown to $1851, compared to $887 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.9% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming ENS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 34.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ENS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ENS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying ENS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.2% after 12 months (median +29.0%), compared to +14.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 96% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +60.0% vs +32.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ENS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ENS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ENS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $182.09 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $194.08 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $207.76 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $223.52 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $241.86 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ENS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ENS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +47.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2005 | 1 | 2.7% | +48.3% | +1936.3% |
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2005 | 1 | 0.8% | +33.6% | +1895.5% |
| Dec 2005 | Jan 2006 | 1 | 2.2% | +22.7% | +1884.8% |
| Mar 2006 | Mar 2006 | 3 | 2.9% | +30.2% | +1871.2% |
| May 2006 | May 2006 | 2 | 8.0% | +36.4% | +1995.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 30 | 63.2% | +36.8% | +1564.4% |
| May 2009 | Jun 2009 | 3 | 11.5% | +57.4% | +1517.6% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 2 | 8.3% | +20.3% | +1360.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Nov 2011 | 13 | 17.1% | +77.7% | +1103.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 6.8% | +53.0% | +1066.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 0.7% | +41.8% | +397.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 17.4% | +54.8% | +380.3% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 2.9% | +47.3% | +371.4% |
| Aug 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 4.1% | +20.4% | +291.0% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7.6% | -27.8% | +262.9% |
| May 2019 | Oct 2019 | 25 | 21.8% | -7.9% | +270.9% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2019 | 1 | 1.1% | +17.6% | +254.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 23 | 40.3% | +48.2% | +292.8% |
| Aug 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 8.5% | +21.6% | +243.5% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 7 | 5.9% | +9.8% | +221.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2022 | 31 | 20.1% | +14.3% | +236.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 5.1% | +121.1% | +184.6% |
| May 2025 | Jun 2025 | 2 | 5.7% | +191.9% | +186.9% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 1.8% | +175.9% | +175.9% |
| Average | 7 | — | +47.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENS below its 200-week moving average?
No. EnerSys (ENS) is currently 116.5% above its 200-week moving average of $105.29. It would need to fall to $105.29 to cross below the line.
What is ENS's 200-week moving average price?
EnerSys's 200-week moving average is $105.29 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ENS drops below its 200-week moving average?
ENS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +47.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is ENS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ENS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 86 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 4.8%. Return on equity is 15.3%. Price-to-book is 4.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ENS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21 years, $100 invested in ENS would have grown to $1851, compared to $887 for the S&P 500. That's 14.9% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. ENS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ENS pay a dividend?
Yes. EnerSys currently pays a dividend yield of 46.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19