EMR
Emerson Electric Co. Industrials - Electrical Equipment Investor Relations →
Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) closed at $157.38 as of 2026-02-02, trading 53.3% above its 200-week moving average of $102.65. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 43.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2753 weeks of data, EMR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 37 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EMR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.3%.
With a market cap of $88.5 billion, EMR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.2%. Return on equity stands at 9.6%. The stock trades at 4.4x book value.
EMR is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 138.00%. Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.8% reduction over three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EMR would have grown to $2752, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. EMR has returned 10.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: EMR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EMR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EMR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.5% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.0% vs +26.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EMR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EMR has crossed below its 200-week MA 37 times with an average 1-year return of +13.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Jul 1973 | 10 | 8.9% | -2.5% | +19967.2% |
| Nov 1973 | Nov 1973 | 1 | 0.0% | -39.0% | +19002.8% |
| Dec 1973 | May 1975 | 75 | 47.3% | -35.5% | +21696.7% |
| Jun 1975 | Jun 1975 | 1 | 2.6% | +2.8% | +22000.7% |
| Jul 1975 | Nov 1975 | 17 | 13.0% | +3.5% | +21780.4% |
| Dec 1975 | Jan 1976 | 6 | 9.5% | +4.2% | +23262.4% |
| Mar 1976 | Apr 1976 | 5 | 1.3% | -3.6% | +21657.4% |
| May 1976 | Jun 1976 | 1 | 0.1% | -5.9% | +21690.9% |
| Aug 1976 | Sep 1976 | 3 | 3.7% | -2.6% | +22611.7% |
| Oct 1976 | Jun 1977 | 34 | 10.1% | -1.0% | +22813.7% |
| Jul 1977 | Jul 1977 | 1 | 1.1% | +11.1% | +23051.2% |
| Aug 1977 | Aug 1977 | 3 | 1.9% | +18.5% | +23223.3% |
| Oct 1977 | Nov 1977 | 1 | 0.2% | +7.8% | +23309.7% |
| Jan 1978 | Apr 1978 | 11 | 8.0% | +18.4% | +23551.5% |
| Feb 1979 | Feb 1979 | 1 | 0.0% | +7.3% | +22134.6% |
| Apr 1979 | Apr 1979 | 1 | 0.4% | +0.2% | +22218.8% |
| Jul 1979 | Jul 1979 | 1 | 0.4% | +23.4% | +22146.6% |
| Oct 1979 | Dec 1979 | 7 | 1.7% | +14.4% | +22273.2% |
| Mar 1980 | Apr 1980 | 8 | 5.3% | +38.0% | +22358.0% |
| Sep 1990 | Oct 1990 | 1 | 0.0% | +55.9% | +4904.2% |
| Jan 2000 | Apr 2000 | 9 | 23.7% | +43.8% | +1133.3% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 3.1% | +27.1% | +1105.2% |
| Jul 2001 | Feb 2002 | 33 | 21.8% | -6.9% | +992.7% |
| Mar 2002 | May 2002 | 7 | 6.2% | -16.8% | +950.7% |
| Jun 2002 | Aug 2003 | 63 | 22.1% | -1.3% | +952.1% |
| Sep 2003 | Oct 2003 | 2 | 1.1% | +20.1% | +985.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 57 | 38.1% | +4.3% | +568.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 3.2% | +26.1% | +447.8% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 5.6% | +18.4% | +435.9% |
| Jul 2015 | Mar 2016 | 36 | 20.3% | +3.2% | +287.0% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | +14.2% | +275.6% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 10 | 5.8% | +14.5% | +279.3% |
| Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 14 | 9.0% | +17.6% | +272.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 2 | 1.6% | +24.3% | +215.5% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 27.7% | +88.7% | +255.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 3 | 2.1% | +64.4% | +195.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 1.7% | +34.6% | +127.5% |
| Average | 12 | — | +13.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02