EGBN

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
7.0% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 3.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $25.77
14-Week RSI 93

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. (EGBN) closed at $27.58 as of 2026-02-02, trading 7.0% above its 200-week moving average of $25.77. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 93, EGBN is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1338 weeks of data, EGBN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EGBN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.0%.

With a market cap of $838 million, EGBN is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at -10.2%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.5% over the past three years.

Over the past 25.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EGBN would have grown to $1352, compared to $753 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.6% vs 8.2% for the index — confirming EGBN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -19.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: EGBN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After EGBN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 13 historical episodes, buying EGBN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.6% after 12 months (median -17.0%), compared to -0.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 46% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.5% vs +10.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EGBN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

EGBN has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +22.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 2000Jul 2000219.7%+119.7%+1537.6%
Aug 2000Aug 200011.7%+114.2%+1230.6%
Sep 2000Oct 200055.0%+124.0%+1230.6%
Oct 2000Nov 200014.1%+80.3%+1262.5%
Nov 2000Dec 200021.8%+83.7%+1230.6%
Aug 2007Feb 201013358.2%-47.4%+197.5%
Jul 2010Jul 201012.4%+33.5%+264.9%
Sep 2018Jan 20191612.6%-11.1%-30.2%
Mar 2019Apr 2019510.0%-48.1%-28.3%
May 2019Feb 20219353.2%-46.9%-34.9%
Sep 2022Oct 202256.2%-50.1%-28.0%
Dec 2022Jan 202334.6%-23.7%-24.3%
Feb 2023Jan 202615259.9%-41.6%-26.7%
Average32+22.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02