EE

Excelerate Energy, Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas Midstream Investor Relations →

NO
61.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 59.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $24.30
14-Week RSI 68
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.97

Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE) closed at $39.27 as of 2026-07-31, trading 61.6% above its 200-week moving average of $24.30. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 59.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 176 weeks of data, EE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 78 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -16.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

Return on equity stands at 7.9%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.

Share count has increased 22.0% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 3.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EE would have grown to $182, compared to $190 for the S&P 500. EE has returned 19.2% annualized vs 20.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 41.2% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: EE vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After EE Crosses Below the Line?

Across 1 historical episodes, buying EE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -27.0% after 12 months (median -27.0%), compared to +30.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was +13.0% vs +40.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EE would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.31σ
Current FCF Yield 18.29%
Baseline Yield 21.27%
Historical σ 3.35pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where EE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$29.02Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$33.74Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$40.30Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$50.03Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$65.95Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 26 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from EE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -1.70σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.16σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +27.4pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-19.4pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

EE has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time with an average 1-year return of +-16.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2023Sep 20247836.2%-16.0%+112.1%
Average78+-16.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is EE below its 200-week moving average?

No. Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE) is currently 61.6% above its 200-week moving average of $24.30. It would need to fall to $24.30 to cross below the line.

What is EE's 200-week moving average price?

Excelerate Energy, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.30 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when EE drops below its 200-week moving average?

EE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -16.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 78 weeks on average.

Is EE a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about EE as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Return on equity is 7.9%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does EE compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 3.4 years, $100 invested in EE would have grown to $182, compared to $190 for the S&P 500. That's 19.2% annualized vs 20.7% for the index. EE has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does EE pay a dividend?

Yes. Excelerate Energy, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 84.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-07-31