EBAY
eBay Inc. Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce Investor Relations →
eBay Inc. (EBAY) closed at $104.07 as of 2026-05-01, trading 78.3% above its 200-week moving average of $58.36. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 68.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.13 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1392 weeks of data, EBAY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EBAY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.0%.
With a market cap of $46.2 billion, EBAY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.6%. Return on equity stands at 40.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 16.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 26.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EBAY would have grown to $1670, compared to $871 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.1% vs 8.4% for the index — confirming EBAY as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EBAY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EBAY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EBAY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.2% after 12 months (median +26.0%), compared to +5.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +58.6% vs +17.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EBAY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EBAY has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +23.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 3 | 6.8% | -12.2% | +1738.4% |
| Jun 2000 | Aug 2000 | 11 | 25.7% | +6.5% | +1724.3% |
| Oct 2000 | May 2001 | 32 | 49.7% | -10.2% | +1776.1% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2001 | 11 | 25.5% | +0.5% | +1883.1% |
| Jan 2002 | Jun 2002 | 19 | 15.4% | +29.5% | +1820.9% |
| Jul 2002 | Oct 2002 | 14 | 14.1% | +93.4% | +1859.0% |
| May 2006 | Sep 2007 | 71 | 29.9% | +5.4% | +760.7% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2010 | 126 | 66.5% | -58.2% | +659.2% |
| Apr 2010 | Oct 2010 | 25 | 25.0% | +30.1% | +1035.5% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 1.6% | +49.5% | +421.7% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +53.8% | +407.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 14 | 15.1% | +36.5% | +308.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 1.4% | +70.8% | +244.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 5 | 19.6% | +66.3% | +238.5% |
| May 2022 | Jan 2023 | 37 | 23.5% | -1.8% | +140.6% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2024 | 56 | 23.5% | -9.7% | +130.0% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 1 | 1.3% | +40.7% | +116.5% |
| Average | 25 | — | +23.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EBAY below its 200-week moving average?
No. eBay Inc. (EBAY) is currently 78.3% above its 200-week moving average of $58.36. It would need to fall to $58.36 to cross below the line.
What is EBAY's 200-week moving average price?
eBay Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $58.36 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EBAY drops below its 200-week moving average?
EBAY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is EBAY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EBAY as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 1.6%. Return on equity is 40.8%. Price-to-book is 10.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EBAY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.8 years, $100 invested in EBAY would have grown to $1670, compared to $871 for the S&P 500. That's 11.1% annualized vs 8.4% for the index. EBAY has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EBAY pay a dividend?
Yes. eBay Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 119.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01