EBAY
eBay Inc. Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce Investor Relations →
eBay Inc. (EBAY) closed at $86.55 as of 2026-02-02, trading 55.6% above its 200-week moving average of $55.60. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 64.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1380 weeks of data, EBAY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EBAY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.0%.
With a market cap of $39.6 billion, EBAY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.0%. Return on equity stands at 42.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 20.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 26.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EBAY would have grown to $1385, compared to $834 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.4% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming EBAY as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: EBAY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EBAY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EBAY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.2% after 12 months (median +26.0%), compared to +5.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +54.9% vs +16.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EBAY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EBAY has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +23.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 3 | 6.8% | -12.2% | +1423.8% |
| Jun 2000 | Aug 2000 | 11 | 25.7% | +6.5% | +1412.1% |
| Oct 2000 | May 2001 | 32 | 49.7% | -10.2% | +1455.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2001 | 11 | 25.5% | +0.5% | +1543.7% |
| Jan 2002 | Jun 2002 | 19 | 15.4% | +29.5% | +1492.2% |
| Jul 2002 | Oct 2002 | 14 | 14.1% | +93.4% | +1523.8% |
| May 2006 | Sep 2007 | 71 | 29.9% | +5.4% | +613.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2010 | 126 | 66.5% | -58.2% | +529.3% |
| Apr 2010 | Oct 2010 | 25 | 25.0% | +30.1% | +841.2% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 1.6% | +49.5% | +332.4% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +53.8% | +320.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 14 | 15.1% | +36.5% | +238.3% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 1.4% | +70.8% | +185.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 5 | 19.6% | +66.3% | +180.6% |
| May 2022 | Jan 2023 | 37 | 23.5% | -1.8% | +99.4% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2024 | 56 | 23.5% | -9.7% | +90.7% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 1 | 1.3% | +40.7% | +79.5% |
| Average | 25 | — | +23.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02