EAT
Brinker International, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) closed at $168.93 as of 2026-02-02, trading 118.6% above its 200-week moving average of $77.26. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 105.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, EAT is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2148 weeks of data, EAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EAT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.2%.
With a market cap of $7.5 billion, EAT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.0%. Return on equity stands at 177.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 19.4x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EAT would have grown to $2737, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. EAT has returned 10.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 59.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: EAT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EAT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying EAT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.9% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +13.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 42% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.1% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EAT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EAT has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +31.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1985 | Oct 1985 | 1 | 1.4% | -0.6% | +20258.2% |
| Dec 1985 | Apr 1986 | 16 | 16.2% | +15.6% | +20258.2% |
| May 1986 | May 1986 | 1 | 0.2% | +53.0% | +20137.0% |
| Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 6 | 10.4% | +52.2% | +21554.9% |
| Oct 1987 | Apr 1988 | 27 | 22.3% | +31.6% | +19782.0% |
| May 1988 | Jun 1988 | 3 | 5.2% | +79.0% | +18178.6% |
| Jun 1988 | Jun 1988 | 1 | 0.7% | +74.5% | +17246.0% |
| Jul 1988 | Jul 1988 | 1 | 0.4% | +96.4% | +17157.9% |
| Aug 1988 | Sep 1988 | 2 | 5.9% | +106.5% | +17700.1% |
| Nov 1994 | Feb 1995 | 11 | 14.7% | -12.5% | +3009.1% |
| Feb 1995 | Feb 1998 | 154 | 45.4% | -30.2% | +2715.8% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 3.5% | +64.8% | +3397.8% |
| Aug 2004 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 4.1% | +34.2% | +1164.7% |
| Oct 2004 | Oct 2004 | 1 | 0.7% | +21.5% | +1113.7% |
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 4 | 8.2% | +25.7% | +979.6% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2010 | 127 | 83.4% | -61.4% | +887.1% |
| Apr 2010 | Sep 2010 | 22 | 25.8% | +33.8% | +1112.7% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.9% | -4.9% | +338.5% |
| Jan 2017 | Apr 2018 | 66 | 35.0% | -14.5% | +309.4% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 3 | 4.4% | -2.4% | +318.0% |
| Aug 2018 | Aug 2018 | 1 | 0.1% | -8.8% | +310.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +6.9% | +313.3% |
| Jan 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 3.0% | +7.1% | +328.4% |
| May 2019 | Sep 2019 | 17 | 9.7% | -50.0% | +328.4% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | +19.5% | +328.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 25 | 76.4% | +101.9% | +397.1% |
| Oct 2021 | Dec 2023 | 111 | 47.3% | -19.4% | +302.6% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 4 | 4.6% | +254.6% | +324.4% |
| Average | 22 | — | +31.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02