EAT
Brinker International, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) closed at $143.40 as of 2026-03-20, trading 77.9% above its 200-week moving average of $80.61. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 80.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2154 weeks of data, EAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EAT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.2%.
With a market cap of $6.4 billion, EAT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 177.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 16.4x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EAT would have grown to $2324, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. EAT has returned 9.9% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 59.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EAT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EAT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying EAT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.9% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +13.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 42% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.1% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EAT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
EAT has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +31.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1985 | Oct 1985 | 1 | 1.4% | -0.6% | +17181.5% |
| Dec 1985 | Apr 1986 | 16 | 16.2% | +15.6% | +17181.5% |
| May 1986 | May 1986 | 1 | 0.2% | +53.0% | +17078.6% |
| Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 6 | 10.4% | +52.2% | +18282.2% |
| Oct 1987 | Apr 1988 | 27 | 22.3% | +31.6% | +16777.2% |
| May 1988 | Jun 1988 | 3 | 5.2% | +79.0% | +15416.2% |
| Jun 1988 | Jun 1988 | 1 | 0.7% | +74.5% | +14624.5% |
| Jul 1988 | Jul 1988 | 1 | 0.4% | +96.4% | +14549.8% |
| Aug 1988 | Sep 1988 | 2 | 5.9% | +106.5% | +15010.0% |
| Nov 1994 | Feb 1995 | 11 | 14.7% | -12.5% | +2539.2% |
| Feb 1995 | Feb 1998 | 154 | 45.4% | -30.2% | +2290.3% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 3.5% | +64.8% | +2869.1% |
| Aug 2004 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 4.1% | +34.2% | +973.6% |
| Oct 2004 | Oct 2004 | 1 | 0.7% | +21.5% | +930.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 4 | 8.2% | +25.7% | +816.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2010 | 127 | 83.4% | -61.4% | +737.9% |
| Apr 2010 | Sep 2010 | 22 | 25.8% | +33.8% | +929.4% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.9% | -4.9% | +272.2% |
| Jan 2017 | Apr 2018 | 66 | 35.0% | -14.5% | +247.6% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 3 | 4.4% | -2.4% | +254.8% |
| Aug 2018 | Aug 2018 | 1 | 0.1% | -8.8% | +248.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +6.9% | +250.8% |
| Jan 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 3.0% | +7.1% | +263.6% |
| May 2019 | Sep 2019 | 17 | 9.7% | -50.0% | +263.6% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | +19.5% | +263.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 25 | 76.4% | +101.9% | +322.0% |
| Oct 2021 | Dec 2023 | 111 | 47.3% | -19.4% | +241.8% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 4 | 4.6% | +254.6% | +260.3% |
| Average | 22 | — | +31.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EAT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) is currently 77.9% above its 200-week moving average of $80.61. It would need to fall to $80.61 to cross below the line.
What is EAT's 200-week moving average price?
Brinker International, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $80.61 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EAT drops below its 200-week moving average?
EAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is EAT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EAT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 4.8%. Return on equity is 177.8%. Price-to-book is 16.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EAT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in EAT would have grown to $2324, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 9.9% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. EAT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20