EA
Electronic Arts Inc. Communication Services - Gaming Investor Relations →
Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) closed at $209.86 as of 2026-07-31, trading 39.6% above its 200-week moving average of $150.35. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 39.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, EA is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1875 weeks of data, EA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +37.4%.
With a market cap of $53.0 billion, EA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.2%. Return on equity stands at 13.5%. The stock trades at 7.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EA would have grown to $3409, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.1% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming EA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 20% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying EA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.1% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.0% vs +37.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EA would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where EA's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $197.77 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $199.69 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $201.64 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $203.63 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $205.66 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from EA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
EA has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +37.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1990 | Jan 1991 | 19 | 26.4% | +171.4% | +35847.8% |
| Jun 1994 | Aug 1994 | 8 | 19.4% | +80.8% | +5666.6% |
| Aug 1994 | Sep 1994 | 1 | 0.3% | +120.1% | +5064.1% |
| Jan 1995 | Feb 1995 | 5 | 6.4% | +57.7% | +4951.1% |
| Jan 1996 | Feb 1996 | 4 | 7.6% | +51.3% | +3523.0% |
| Feb 1996 | Mar 1996 | 4 | 4.6% | +29.5% | +3485.5% |
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 7 | 27.2% | +53.5% | +3010.1% |
| Jan 2003 | Jan 2003 | 1 | 0.5% | +98.8% | +802.0% |
| May 2006 | Jul 2006 | 12 | 12.5% | +11.4% | +381.0% |
| Jan 2007 | Apr 2007 | 11 | 4.7% | -1.8% | +329.6% |
| Apr 2007 | Aug 2007 | 14 | 9.2% | +2.9% | +318.7% |
| Sep 2007 | Sep 2007 | 1 | 1.8% | -9.5% | +321.0% |
| Jan 2008 | Feb 2013 | 267 | 69.6% | -66.3% | +309.1% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 3 | 3.1% | +64.8% | +1146.4% |
| Nov 2018 | Feb 2019 | 13 | 16.1% | +10.6% | +143.3% |
| Apr 2019 | Sep 2019 | 20 | 8.7% | +23.6% | +132.2% |
| Sep 2019 | Nov 2019 | 8 | 3.2% | +37.1% | +126.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | 14.5% | +34.8% | +122.8% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 2.1% | +9.4% | +86.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 2.9% | +3.6% | +85.1% |
| Jan 2023 | Apr 2023 | 9 | 10.7% | +20.7% | +87.6% |
| Jul 2023 | Oct 2023 | 10 | 6.0% | +22.1% | +73.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 3.3% | +19.1% | +73.4% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 6 | 2.1% | +12.4% | +65.8% |
| Jan 2025 | Mar 2025 | 6 | 11.6% | +75.9% | +81.2% |
| Average | 17 | — | +37.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) is currently 39.6% above its 200-week moving average of $150.35. It would need to fall to $150.35 to cross below the line.
What is EA's 200-week moving average price?
Electronic Arts Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $150.35 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EA drops below its 200-week moving average?
EA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +37.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is EA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EA as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 76 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 4.2%. Return on equity is 13.5%. Price-to-book is 7.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in EA would have grown to $3409, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 11.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. EA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EA pay a dividend?
Yes. Electronic Arts Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 36.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31