DVN

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NO
1.1% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was -7.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $43.32
14-Week RSI 80

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) closed at $43.81 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.1% above its 200-week moving average of $43.32. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -7.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, DVN is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2067 weeks of data, DVN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DVN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.2%.

With a market cap of $27.5 billion, DVN is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 18.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DVN would have grown to $920, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. DVN has returned 6.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: DVN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After DVN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 26 historical episodes, buying DVN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.0% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.9% vs +21.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DVN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

DVN has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +9.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 1986Feb 198913667.8%-18.9%+2190.3%
Jan 1992May 19921813.2%+68.1%+1659.2%
Aug 1998Sep 199847.2%+47.4%+421.6%
Nov 1998Dec 199844.9%+22.0%+409.5%
Jan 1999Apr 19991529.8%+17.6%+396.8%
Dec 1999Dec 199917.2%+66.0%+378.4%
Dec 1999Jan 200010.5%+86.2%+344.0%
Sep 2001Feb 20022219.9%+26.6%+287.9%
Jul 2002Aug 200248.1%+26.6%+259.2%
Nov 2002Nov 200210.4%+13.2%+223.2%
Jan 2003Feb 200343.5%+31.9%+218.8%
Sep 2003Oct 200353.6%+55.8%+201.2%
Nov 2003Nov 200310.7%+61.6%+197.8%
Oct 2008Oct 2008315.2%+15.3%+15.6%
Nov 2008Dec 20095845.2%-2.3%-1.1%
Jan 2010Dec 20104917.8%+14.4%-6.3%
Aug 2011Feb 20122825.3%-18.5%-3.4%
Apr 2012Feb 20149721.4%-17.7%-1.3%
Mar 2014Mar 201411.1%-6.7%+4.0%
Oct 2014Nov 201449.4%-22.5%+8.7%
Nov 2014Feb 20151016.5%-22.5%+9.6%
Feb 2015Mar 201556.5%-66.4%+4.5%
Jun 2015Jun 201815666.7%-39.2%+5.6%
Aug 2018Aug 201812.8%-43.9%+51.3%
Sep 2018May 202113981.6%-41.7%+51.8%
Sep 2024Sep 202447.3%-13.2%+10.9%
Oct 2024Ongoing69+35.9%Ongoing+11.5%
Average31+9.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02