DVAX

Dynavax Technologies Corporation Healthcare - Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Investor Relations →

NO
29.1% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 29.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $12.01
14-Week RSI 89

Dynavax Technologies Corporation (DVAX) closed at $15.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 29.1% above its 200-week moving average of $12.01. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 29.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 89, DVAX is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1098 weeks of data, DVAX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -11.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $1820 million, DVAX is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at -7.1%. The stock trades at 3.4x book value.

Over the past 21.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DVAX would have grown to $22, compared to $862 for the S&P 500. DVAX has returned -7.0% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -43.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: DVAX vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After DVAX Crosses Below the Line?

Across 24 historical episodes, buying DVAX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -7.6% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 30% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -30.4% vs +20.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DVAX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

DVAX has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +-11.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 2005Aug 20052644.9%-3.2%-75.4%
Oct 2005Oct 200534.9%+25.5%-74.5%
Nov 2005Feb 20061332.6%+15.5%-68.9%
Feb 2006Feb 200610.0%-7.6%-73.9%
Apr 2006Oct 20062633.7%-8.0%-73.5%
Feb 2007Feb 20085535.9%-10.7%-73.6%
Mar 2008Dec 201014396.5%-67.5%-26.9%
Aug 2011Aug 201111.0%+77.3%-25.1%
Sep 2011Oct 201138.1%+153.4%-19.7%
Nov 2012Nov 201210.7%-44.7%-36.5%
Feb 2013Jul 201512359.6%-6.1%-21.7%
Oct 2015Nov 201567.2%-54.7%-35.0%
Jan 2016Jan 2016111.2%-79.3%-26.4%
Feb 2016Jul 20177877.7%-81.0%-26.4%
Jan 2018Jan 201824.1%-29.8%-1.6%
Mar 2018Mar 201810.0%-51.5%-5.5%
Apr 2018May 201810.7%-57.6%-5.5%
May 2018Feb 202114179.4%-70.2%-4.3%
Feb 2021Mar 2021315.9%+42.6%+77.1%
Mar 2021Apr 202111.4%+15.7%+59.3%
Apr 2021Aug 20211522.0%-0.7%+61.6%
Apr 2024May 202445.0%-3.5%+38.3%
Jun 2024Nov 20241912.5%-11.8%+38.0%
Apr 2025Dec 20253724.9%N/A+37.8%
Average29+-11.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02