DVA
DaVita Inc. Healthcare - Dialysis Services Investor Relations →
DaVita Inc. (DVA) closed at $140.83 as of 2026-02-02, trading 20.6% above its 200-week moving average of $116.74. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -6.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1531 weeks of data, DVA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DVA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.7%.
With a market cap of $9.4 billion, DVA is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 64.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at -14.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 17.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 29.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DVA would have grown to $1806, compared to $1617 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.3% vs 9.9% for the index — confirming DVA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: DVA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DVA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying DVA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +1.7% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +19.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.6% vs +39.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DVA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DVA has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +1.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1996 | Jan 1997 | 9 | 6.8% | +25.9% | +1955.9% |
| Mar 1997 | May 1997 | 9 | 15.4% | +60.2% | +1994.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 4 | 19.3% | -62.0% | +1683.6% |
| Sep 1998 | Oct 1998 | 4 | 19.2% | -63.5% | +2066.6% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 1 | 1.1% | -72.6% | +1665.0% |
| Jan 1999 | Apr 2001 | 117 | 86.8% | -80.4% | +1712.3% |
| Mar 2008 | Apr 2008 | 5 | 10.4% | -0.7% | +511.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Aug 2009 | 47 | 20.3% | +19.1% | +500.0% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 0.6% | +35.3% | +431.1% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 4.4% | +2.2% | +120.4% |
| Aug 2016 | Dec 2017 | 69 | 22.5% | -12.8% | +118.4% |
| Mar 2018 | Jun 2018 | 12 | 11.1% | -21.9% | +105.5% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 5 | 1.5% | -19.0% | +102.8% |
| Aug 2018 | Sep 2018 | 4 | 4.3% | -18.6% | +103.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2019 | 56 | 34.7% | -18.1% | +104.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.2% | +69.0% | +116.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 7 | 11.1% | +26.1% | +81.7% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.3% | +17.3% | +60.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 6.6% | +14.4% | +63.2% |
| Oct 2022 | May 2023 | 28 | 21.1% | +8.8% | +99.6% |
| Sep 2023 | Sep 2023 | 1 | 0.8% | +57.0% | +47.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 24.4% | +72.5% | +49.0% |
| Dec 2025 | Ongoing | 8+ | 10.2% | Ongoing | +22.2% |
| Average | 18 | — | +1.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02