DUOL
Duolingo Inc. Technology - Education Investor Relations →
Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) closed at $119.40 as of 2026-02-02, trading 42.7% below its 200-week moving average of $208.33. This places DUOL in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -35.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 15, DUOL is in oversold territory.
Over the past 188 weeks of data, DUOL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DUOL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.9%.
With a market cap of $5.5 billion, DUOL is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.9%. Return on equity stands at 36.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.2x book value.
Share count has increased 17.4% over three years, indicating dilution. DUOL passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 3.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DUOL would have grown to $130, compared to $176 for the S&P 500. DUOL has returned 7.4% annualized vs 16.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 346.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: DUOL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DUOL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 2 historical episodes, buying DUOL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +50.0% after 12 months (median +50.0%), compared to +13.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +77.0% vs +38.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DUOL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DUOL has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +22.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2022 | Feb 2023 | 34 | 37.5% | +22.9% | +8.5% |
| Nov 2025 | Ongoing | 14+ | 42.7% | Ongoing | -40.7% |
| Average | 24 | — | +22.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02