DUK
Duke Energy Corporation Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) closed at $121.86 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.8% above its 200-week moving average of $99.28. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 22.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, DUK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DUK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.5%.
With a market cap of $94.8 billion, DUK is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.9%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DUK would have grown to $1686, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. DUK has returned 8.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: DUK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DUK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying DUK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.2% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +16.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 92% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.3% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DUK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DUK has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +29.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 2 | 6.1% | +35.1% | +14475.4% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 2.5% | +84.8% | +846.7% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 3 | 6.1% | +79.6% | +849.3% |
| Jun 2002 | Oct 2004 | 125 | 56.7% | -32.8% | +601.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Aug 2009 | 45 | 23.7% | +15.0% | +510.0% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 2 | 0.8% | +18.4% | +433.1% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 2 | 1.3% | +22.8% | +437.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 12.3% | +41.6% | +124.0% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 2.1% | +6.5% | +59.7% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 0.9% | +20.4% | +51.6% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 3 | 0.1% | +16.3% | +49.9% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | +33.1% | +50.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 1 | 1.5% | +35.2% | +51.2% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 7 | 3.0% | +37.0% | +50.6% |
| Average | 14 | — | +29.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02