DTE
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DTE Energy Company (DTE) closed at $147.56 as of 2026-06-19, trading 27.8% above its 200-week moving average of $115.51. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 27.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 3315 weeks of data, DTE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DTE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.6%.
With a market cap of $30.7 billion, DTE is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.4%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DTE would have grown to $2377, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. DTE has returned 9.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DTE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DTE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying DTE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.4% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +13.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 84% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.2% vs +25.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DTE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. DTE currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DTE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DTE has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +14.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1966 | Oct 1966 | 18 | 7.7% | -0.5% | +31877.9% |
| Mar 1967 | Mar 1967 | 3 | 3.0% | -12.9% | +30225.8% |
| May 1967 | Dec 1968 | 85 | 17.4% | -16.7% | +30243.2% |
| Jan 1969 | Dec 1970 | 101 | 25.9% | -16.9% | +31105.7% |
| May 1971 | Oct 1971 | 20 | 7.2% | +7.1% | +36856.1% |
| Nov 1971 | Nov 1971 | 1 | 1.0% | +17.9% | +36238.9% |
| Nov 1973 | Jan 1974 | 9 | 6.8% | -40.5% | +36575.9% |
| Feb 1974 | Oct 1975 | 87 | 48.7% | -22.7% | +35538.3% |
| Nov 1979 | Nov 1979 | 1 | 0.4% | +1.0% | +26215.1% |
| Dec 1979 | Dec 1979 | 2 | 1.1% | +1.5% | +26244.7% |
| Feb 1980 | Apr 1980 | 9 | 10.1% | +2.7% | +25981.3% |
| Sep 1980 | Mar 1981 | 26 | 11.2% | +7.4% | +25384.3% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 3 | 5.0% | +78.4% | +9382.5% |
| Jun 1988 | Jun 1988 | 1 | 1.8% | +81.4% | +9017.8% |
| Feb 1994 | Feb 1994 | 2 | 2.1% | +14.4% | +2677.6% |
| Mar 1994 | Jan 1995 | 44 | 11.8% | +5.5% | +2652.6% |
| Mar 1995 | Mar 1995 | 1 | 0.5% | +31.7% | +2508.0% |
| Dec 1999 | Jan 2000 | 5 | 1.7% | +24.2% | +1573.3% |
| Feb 2000 | May 2000 | 11 | 7.7% | +26.9% | +1665.5% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 5 | 3.4% | +60.1% | +1548.1% |
| Jul 2003 | Sep 2003 | 8 | 3.8% | +20.9% | +1138.1% |
| Oct 2003 | Oct 2003 | 1 | 0.2% | +23.9% | +1094.5% |
| Nov 2003 | Nov 2003 | 1 | 1.6% | +29.0% | +1106.0% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 5.0% | -29.1% | +779.8% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 2 | 2.9% | -7.6% | +757.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 55 | 39.5% | -7.6% | +755.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 20.2% | +37.2% | +122.0% |
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 5 | 7.0% | +38.7% | +105.5% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 3 | 0.4% | +36.8% | +101.5% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.1% | +11.9% | +58.0% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 3 | 3.1% | +22.4% | +54.6% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 9.2% | +33.0% | +61.9% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 4 | 1.2% | +22.6% | +52.4% |
| Average | 16 | — | +14.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DTE below its 200-week moving average?
No. DTE Energy Company (DTE) is currently 27.8% above its 200-week moving average of $115.51. It would need to fall to $115.51 to cross below the line.
What is DTE's 200-week moving average price?
DTE Energy Company's 200-week moving average is $115.51 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DTE drops below its 200-week moving average?
DTE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is DTE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DTE as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 10.4%. Price-to-book is 2.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DTE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in DTE would have grown to $2377, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 9.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DTE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DTE pay a dividend?
Yes. DTE Energy Company currently pays a dividend yield of 308.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19