DTE
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DTE Energy Company (DTE) closed at $128.52 as of 2026-09-18, trading 9.7% above its 200-week moving average of $117.12. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 13.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, DTE is in oversold territory.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 3328 weeks of data, DTE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DTE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.2%.
With a market cap of $26.7 billion, DTE is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DTE would have grown to $2087, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. DTE has returned 9.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DTE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DTE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying DTE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.8% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.9% vs +23.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DTE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. DTE currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | $1.14 | $1.32 | +16.3% |
| 2026-04-30 | $2.03 | $1.95 | -4.1% |
| 2026-02-17 | $1.52 | $1.65 | +8.3% |
| 2025-10-30 | $2.11 | $2.25 | +6.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DTE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DTE has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +11.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1966 | Oct 1966 | 18 | 7.8% | -0.4% | +27665.1% |
| Mar 1967 | Mar 1967 | 3 | 2.0% | -12.9% | +26523.0% |
| May 1967 | Dec 1968 | 85 | 17.4% | -16.7% | +26538.3% |
| Jan 1969 | Dec 1970 | 101 | 26.0% | -16.9% | +27295.4% |
| May 1971 | Nov 1971 | 23 | 6.2% | +7.1% | +32343.8% |
| Nov 1971 | Nov 1971 | 1 | 1.1% | +17.9% | +31801.9% |
| Nov 1973 | Jan 1974 | 9 | 7.0% | -40.5% | +32097.7% |
| Feb 1974 | Oct 1975 | 87 | 48.8% | -22.7% | +31186.8% |
| Nov 1979 | Nov 1979 | 1 | 0.5% | +1.0% | +23002.0% |
| Dec 1979 | Dec 1979 | 2 | 1.2% | +1.5% | +23028.0% |
| Feb 1980 | Apr 1980 | 9 | 9.4% | +2.7% | +22796.7% |
| Sep 1980 | Mar 1981 | 24 | 8.0% | +6.6% | +21812.5% |
| Apr 1988 | May 1988 | 4 | 5.1% | +64.5% | +7828.3% |
| Feb 1994 | Feb 1994 | 2 | 2.2% | +14.4% | +2338.5% |
| Mar 1994 | Jan 1995 | 44 | 11.6% | +5.6% | +2273.6% |
| Dec 1999 | Jan 2000 | 5 | 1.6% | +22.3% | +1345.6% |
| Feb 2000 | May 2000 | 11 | 7.8% | +26.9% | +1450.0% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 5 | 3.5% | +60.1% | +1346.8% |
| Jul 2003 | Sep 2003 | 6 | 3.9% | +20.9% | +986.9% |
| Oct 2003 | Oct 2003 | 2 | 0.3% | +24.1% | +947.8% |
| Nov 2003 | Nov 2003 | 1 | 1.7% | +29.0% | +958.7% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 5.0% | -29.1% | +672.4% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 2 | 2.9% | -7.6% | +652.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 55 | 39.5% | -7.6% | +651.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 20.3% | +36.9% | +92.7% |
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 5 | 7.1% | +38.7% | +80.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 2 | 0.5% | +31.5% | +77.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.2% | +11.9% | +38.7% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 3 | 3.2% | +22.4% | +35.7% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 9.2% | +33.0% | +42.2% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 4 | 1.3% | +22.6% | +33.8% |
| Average | 17 | — | +11.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DTE below its 200-week moving average?
No. DTE Energy Company (DTE) is currently 9.7% above its 200-week moving average of $117.12. It would need to fall to $117.12 to cross below the line.
What is DTE's 200-week moving average price?
DTE Energy Company's 200-week moving average is $117.12 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DTE drops below its 200-week moving average?
DTE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is DTE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DTE as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 28 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 11.0%. Price-to-book is 2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DTE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in DTE would have grown to $2087, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 9.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DTE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DTE pay a dividend?
Yes. DTE Energy Company currently pays a dividend yield of 363.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18