DTE
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DTE Energy Company (DTE) closed at $141.87 as of 2026-07-31, trading 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $115.78. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 29.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 3321 weeks of data, DTE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DTE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.2%.
With a market cap of $29.5 billion, DTE is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DTE would have grown to $2303, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. DTE has returned 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DTE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DTE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying DTE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.8% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.9% vs +23.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DTE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. DTE currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DTE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DTE has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +11.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1966 | Oct 1966 | 18 | 7.8% | -0.4% | +30549.2% |
| Mar 1967 | Mar 1967 | 3 | 2.0% | -12.9% | +29288.5% |
| May 1967 | Dec 1968 | 85 | 17.4% | -16.7% | +29305.3% |
| Jan 1969 | Dec 1970 | 101 | 26.0% | -16.9% | +30141.1% |
| May 1971 | Nov 1971 | 23 | 6.2% | +7.1% | +35713.9% |
| Nov 1971 | Nov 1971 | 1 | 1.1% | +17.9% | +35115.7% |
| Nov 1973 | Jan 1974 | 9 | 7.0% | -40.5% | +35442.2% |
| Feb 1974 | Oct 1975 | 87 | 48.8% | -22.7% | +34436.7% |
| Nov 1979 | Nov 1979 | 1 | 0.5% | +1.0% | +25401.7% |
| Dec 1979 | Dec 1979 | 2 | 1.2% | +1.5% | +25430.4% |
| Feb 1980 | Apr 1980 | 9 | 9.4% | +2.7% | +25175.1% |
| Sep 1980 | Mar 1981 | 24 | 8.0% | +6.6% | +24088.6% |
| Apr 1988 | May 1988 | 4 | 5.1% | +64.5% | +8651.8% |
| Feb 1994 | Feb 1994 | 2 | 2.2% | +14.4% | +2591.8% |
| Mar 1994 | Jan 1995 | 44 | 11.6% | +5.6% | +2520.1% |
| Dec 1999 | Jan 2000 | 5 | 1.6% | +22.3% | +1495.8% |
| Feb 2000 | May 2000 | 11 | 7.8% | +26.9% | +1611.0% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 5 | 3.5% | +60.1% | +1497.1% |
| Jul 2003 | Sep 2003 | 6 | 3.9% | +20.9% | +1099.8% |
| Oct 2003 | Oct 2003 | 2 | 0.3% | +24.1% | +1056.6% |
| Nov 2003 | Nov 2003 | 1 | 1.7% | +29.0% | +1068.7% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 5.0% | -29.1% | +752.6% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 2 | 2.9% | -7.6% | +731.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 55 | 39.5% | -7.6% | +729.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 20.3% | +36.9% | +112.7% |
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 5 | 7.1% | +38.7% | +99.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 2 | 0.5% | +31.5% | +95.8% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.2% | +11.9% | +53.1% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 3 | 3.2% | +22.4% | +49.8% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 9.2% | +33.0% | +56.9% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 4 | 1.3% | +22.6% | +47.7% |
| Average | 17 | — | +11.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DTE below its 200-week moving average?
No. DTE Energy Company (DTE) is currently 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $115.78. It would need to fall to $115.78 to cross below the line.
What is DTE's 200-week moving average price?
DTE Energy Company's 200-week moving average is $115.78 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DTE drops below its 200-week moving average?
DTE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is DTE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DTE as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 11.0%. Price-to-book is 2.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DTE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in DTE would have grown to $2303, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DTE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DTE pay a dividend?
Yes. DTE Energy Company currently pays a dividend yield of 329.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31